We present an interpretable machine learning pipeline to decompose Cross-Sectional Equity Return Predictability into auditable factor contribution. We apply an XGBoost model with TreeSHAP attribution and conduct stress testing on 3632 Chinese A-share stocks from 2009 until 2019.
arXiv:2502. 18834v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies.
By Yifan Hu, Yuante Li, Peiyuan Liu, Yuxia Zhu, Naiqi Li, Tao Dai, Shu-tao Xia, Dawei Cheng, Changjun Jiang
arXiv:2606. 24575v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern finance relies heavily on complex machine learning models to find patterns in the stock market.
By Augusto Eiji Yamazaki, Hugo Garrido-Lestache Belinchon
arXiv:2603. 19225v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Real-world financial decision-making is a challenging problem that requires reasoning over heterogeneous signals, including company fundamentals derived from regulatory filings and trading signals computed from price dynamics.
By Yogesh Agrawal, Aniruddha Dutta, Md Mahadi Hasan, Santu Karmaker, Aritra Dutta
arXiv:2606. 04576v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learning Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) is important for managing financial risks effectively.
By Yichi Zhang, Ke Zhu, Zhoufan Zhu
arXiv:2608. 14106v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-sectional correlation.
By Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu, Guangqi Liu, Stephen Wang, Qingsong Wen, Huan Liu