arXiv Machine Learning By Arthur Chagas, Arthur Buzelin, Yan Aquino, Pedro Bento, Gisele L. Pappa, Wagner Meira Jr., Cristiano Arbex Valle

Inference-Time Decision Calibration for Temporal Classification

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2606. 16034v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal classification errors are often treated as representation failures, but they can also arise from how available evidence is converted into decisions.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv AI
4d ago

Calibration-First Cross-Cohort Multimodal Temporal Learning for Transferable Asthma-Risk Forecasting

The paper introduces CALIBRA, a calibration-first multimodal temporal learning framework designed for transferable asthma‑risk forecasting across varying patient cohorts and sensor ecosystems. It processes multiple data streams—environmental, pulmonary, symptom, medication, wearable, and context—using dedicated recurrent encoders, a reliability‑conditioned gate, and gradient‑reversal training to mitigate cohort bias. CALIBRA employs a shrinkage‑based hierarchical logistic layer for probability calibration and split conformal prediction for abstention‑capable prediction sets, achieving competitive performance on a semi‑synthetic three‑cohort benchmark with controlled distribution shift.

By Taimoor Ahmad
arXiv AI
Jul 22

Biological Amnesia in ICU Time-Series Prediction: A Drift-Adaptive Two-Stream Architecture with Temporal Retrieval

arXiv:2607. 19020v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Background: Clinical decision support systems degrade silently as treatment protocols evolve, yet standard adaptation methods treat models as monolithic blocks, unable to distinguish stable patient physiology from shifting institutional practice.

By Fatema Ferdous Tamanna, K. M. Merajul Arefin, Md. Abdul Masud
arXiv AI
Sep 1

Scalable Clinical Data Infrastructure and Comparative ML Evaluation for Hospitalisation Risk Prediction in Elderly Patients with Multiple Long-Term Conditions using CPRD

arXiv:2608.29419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over s...

By Asra Aslam, Volodymyr Chapman, Maurice M. O'Connell, Aseel S. Abuzour, Michael Abaho, Danushka Bollegala, Gary Leeming, Eduard Shantsila, Andrew Clegg, Lauren E. Walker, Iain Edward Buchan, Samuel D. Relton
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

One Step Closer to Ground Truth: A Multi-Scale Residual-Aware Representation Learning Pipeline for Predicting Time Series Data

arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.

By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman