arXiv Machine Learning By Max Amiri, David Eyers

Industrial Kinematic Trajectory Model (IKTM): Coordinate-Free Autoregressive Generator

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The Industrial Kinematic Trajectory Model (IKTM) is a new coordinate‑free autoregressive generator that models industrial vehicle motion using kinematic sequences of speed and heading change, eliminating the need for absolute spatial references. It employs a causal transformer with probabilistic mixture heads and a duration‑conditioning signal, extending a prior Markovian approach with deep sequence modeling. Trained on a single site, IKTM achieves near‑optimal turn‑rate distribution matching and low Jensen‑Shannon divergence across four sites, outperforming the earlier model by 5.3–6.0× in oracle‑length protocols while maintaining exact duration tracking in rollouts.

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