arXiv AI By Haoran Hu, Xingce Wang

Exact Stiefel Optimization for Probabilistic PLS: Closed-Form Updates, Error Bounds, and Calibrated Uncertainty

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arXiv:2605. 11607v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Probabilistic partial least squares (PPLS) is a central likelihood-based model for two-view learning when one needs both interpretable latent factors and calibrated uncertainty.

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arXiv Statistics ML
4d ago

Copula Active Subspaces I: A Score-Covariance Method for Reduced-Order Non-Gaussian Density Estimation

arXiv:2609. 36142v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In Bayesian inference problems with non-Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is only as accurate as the noise density, and gradient-based samplers need that density and its gradient evaluable pointwise, whether from an explicit expression or from code, and without an inner solve.

By Joshua Chen, Peter Jan van Leeuwen
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

Inference and Uncertainty Quantification for Streaming $r$-PCA

The paper tackles two key gaps in streaming PCA using Oja's algorithm: it establishes sharp operator‑norm convergence for general‑rank subspaces under sub‑Gaussian data, and it provides distributional inference for the resulting subspace estimator. The authors remove non‑vanishing remainder terms from existing analyses, achieving rates that match minimax bounds in both dense‑tail and sparse‑tail regimes. They further develop a linearization of Oja’s iterates, enabling high‑dimensional Gaussian approximations and an online multiplier bootstrap for practical inference.

By Haoshu Xu, Hongzhe Li
arXiv Machine Learning
2d ago

The Normalized Maximum Likelihood for Regular Non-Smooth Models: Measure-Theoretic Foundations and Geometric Sampling

The paper develops a rigorous framework for computing the Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) codelength for regular path‑differentiable Lipschitz (PDL) estimators, which include non‑smooth models such as Lasso and Sparse SVMs. By leveraging geometric measure theory and a novel Propose‑and‑Project Metropolis‑Hastings sampler, the authors provide a method to exactly evaluate the stochastic complexity for these non‑smooth estimators and demonstrate its scalability to high‑dimensional settings. The study shows that the exact NML criterion can match cross‑validation performance while being more data‑efficient, offering a theoretically grounded alternative for model selection in modern machine learning.

By Trenton Lau, Gary P. T. Choi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Closed-Form Spectral Regularization for Multi-Task Model Merging

arXiv:2606. 07289v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Model merging combines several independently fine-tuned experts into a single multi-task model without any training data, reducing the storage, serving, and decentralized-development costs of large foundation models.

By Yongxian Wei, Runxi Cheng, Xingxuan Zhang, Li Shen, Chun Yuan, Peng Cui, Dacheng Tao
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Multi-output Gaussian process prediction of physical fields under linear equality constraints

The paper tackles the challenge of predicting multiple high‑dimensional physical fields that must satisfy linear equality constraints, a common scenario in physics‑informed machine learning. It critiques the conventional approach of deducing one field from others, showing its sensitivity to arbitrary choices and its impact on accuracy and uncertainty. To address this, the authors introduce a symmetric framework that first applies a row‑wise PCA to preserve constraints in a latent space, then trains a linearly‑constrained multi‑output Gaussian process using a specially parametrized kernel, and validate the method on population dynamics and CFD problems involving Reynolds stress tensors.

By Mahamat Hamdan Nassouradine, Cl\'ement Gauchy, Pierre-Emmanuel Angeli, S\'ebastien da Veiga