arXiv:2607. 21773v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose and study a robust variant of the smart predict-then-optimize approach that accounts for prediction shifts due to disturbance in the covariate feature space.
By Aakil Caunhye, Xuefei Lu, Belen Martin-Barragan
arXiv:2606. 27269v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliably quantifying predictive uncertainty is difficult for complex, high-dimensional, or misspecified models.
By Graham Gibson, John Tipton, Kellin Rumsey, Natalie Klein
arXiv:2608. 05995v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimates are critical in safety-sensitive applications, where understanding the sources of predictive uncertainty is essential.
By Frieder Wizgall, Georg Tirpitz, Moritz Seiler, Kerstin Ritter, B\'alint Mucs\'anyi
arXiv:2605. 07565v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study Bayesian Optimisation (BO) in settings where the objective function is influenced by uncontrollable environmental contexts governed by an unknown probability distribution.
By Tigran Ramazyan, Denis Derkach
arXiv:2606. 19569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for reliable decision-making in safety-critical applications in probabilistic machine learning.
By Sam Goring, Tom Kuipers, Nicola Paoletti, David S. Watson
arXiv:2602. 04596v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bayes-filtered transformers are transformers meta-learned on sequences from a prior predictive distribution to approximate the corresponding posterior predictive distribution.
By Sandra Fortini, Kenyon Ng, Sonia Petrone, Judith Rousseau, Susan Wei
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2410. 14843v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification.
By Jinlin Lai, Antonio Linero, Yuling Yao
arXiv:2603. 00393v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations are often ill-conditioned due to noisy, incomplete data or inherent non-uniqueness.
By Ali Siahkoohi, Kamal Aghazade, Ali Gholami
arXiv:2606. 25188v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for trustworthy large-scale learning.
By Kun Jin, James Harrison, Jiawei Li, Sihan Liu, Jiayi Liu, Randolph Linderman, Yuening Li, Arnab Bhadury, Sourabh Prakash Bansod, Liang Liu, Jasper Snoek
arXiv:2603. 16481v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control.
By Amon Lahr, Anna Scampicchio, Johannes K\"ohler, Melanie N. Zeilinger
arXiv:2606. 05381v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose an extended family of structured spatial priors that incorporates the total variation (TV) function with $\ell_p$ norms.
By Disi Lin, Martin Berggren, Tommy L\"ofstedt