arXiv Machine Learning By Luben M. C. Cabezas, Vagner S. Santos, Thiago R. Ramos, Pedro L. C. Rodrigues, Rafael Izbicki

CP4SBI: Local Conformal Calibration of Credible Sets in Simulation-Based Inference

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2508. 17077v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Current experimental scientists have been increasingly relying on simulation-based inference (SBI) to invert complex non-linear models with intractable likelihoods.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Beyond Marginal Validity: Finite-Sample Guarantees for Localized Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2608. 06206v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction endows arbitrary black-box predictors with finite-sample, distribution-free marginal coverage, yet marginal validity can hide severe covariate-specific miscalibration, while exact distribution-free conditional coverage is finite-sample unattainable.

By Anton Conrad, Rustam Isaev, Denis Belomestny, Eric Moulines, Sergey Samsonov
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Robust Bayes-Assisted Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 04236v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayes-assisted conformal prediction combines the strengths of Bayesian modelling with exact, distribution-free frequentist coverage guarantees.

By Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi, Stefano Cortinovis, Fran\c{c}ois Caron
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Isotonic Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.

By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang