arXiv Machine Learning By Marios Andreou, Nan Chen

Bridging Prediction and Attribution: Identifying Forward and Backward Causal Influence Ranges Using Assimilative Causal Inference

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arXiv:2510. 21889v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference identifies cause-and-effect relationships between variables.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Physics constraints and response validation in discrete-time reduced-order modeling: from idealized turbulent systems to climate dynamics

arXiv:2602. 13847v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A central challenge across science and engineering is to build data-driven reduced-order models of turbulent dynamical systems that reproduce stationary statistics, predict responses to external perturbations, and remain practical for real-world applications.

By Fabrizio Falasca, Laure Zanna
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 5

Amortized Interventional Forecasting for Multivariate CIR Processes

arXiv:2608. 03715v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mean-reverting dynamics are pervasive in finance, and the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process is a standard model for the time series they produce, from short rates to credit default swap (CDS) spreads.

By Andreas Sauter, Sumit Sourabh, Drona Kandhai, Erman Acar
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Uncovering Insights of Compound Flooding with Data-Driven AI

arXiv:2506. 04281v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Compound flooding, driven by nonlinear interactions between multiple hydrometeorological factors, poses a significant challenge to hazard prevention.

By Xu Zheng, Chaohao Lin, Sipeng Chen, Zhuomin Chen, Jimeng Shi, Jayantha Obeysekera, Jingchao Ni, Wei Cheng, Jason Liu, Dongsheng Luo