arXiv Machine Learning By Lev V. Utkin, Andrei V. Konstantinov, Stanislav K. Kogan, Natalya M. Verbova, Maksim I. Goriunov

Attention-Based Estimation of the Individual Treatment Benefit Probability under Dose Variation

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arXiv:2606. 13821v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating the probability that a treatment outperforms a control for an individual patient, called the Individual Probability of Treatment Benefit (IPTB), offers a clinically intuitive alternative to population-average metrics.

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arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 24

Double Machine Learning of Continuous Treatment Effects with Additive Instrumental Variables

The paper introduces a new framework for identifying average dose-response functions in the presence of unmeasured confounding by using instrumental variables. It defines a uniform regular weighting function and partitions the treatment space into open sets where local identification is possible. For estimation, the authors propose an augmented inverse probability weighted score within a debiased machine learning setting, along with practical guidance for constructing weighting functions, falsification tests for the additive IV condition, and asymptotic theory for kernel regression or empirical risk minimization estimators.

By Shuyuan Chen, Peng Zhang, Yifan Cui