arXiv:2408. 08998v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances in machine learning have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various applications.
By Yan Sun, Pratik Chaudhari, Ian J. Barnett, Edgar Dobriban
arXiv:2505. 16713v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We examine the concentration of uniform generalization errors around their expectation in binary linear classification problems via an isoperimetric argument.
By Shogo Nakakita
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
The paper introduces rankECE, a new metric for assessing calibration error in predictive models. Unlike the widely used Expected Calibration Error (ECE), rankECE compares predictions with neighboring probability values, offering theoretical guarantees and empirical evidence that it better approximates ECE than traditional binned methods.
By Anirban Chatterjee, Rina Foygel Barber
arXiv:2411.02771v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While c...
By Lars van der Laan, Alex Luedtke, Marco Carone
arXiv:2609. 08234v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Suppose we are given an ordered sequence of independent data whose distribution changes $K$ times at unknown locations, for some unknown $K \geq 0$.
By Rohan Hore, Aaditya Ramdas