The paper investigates fixed‑design random feature ridge regression beyond the mean‑kernel approximation, focusing on how the predictor’s nonlinear dependence on the empirical kernel affects training error, test error, and the conditional generalization gap. By deriving covariance‑level (one‑loop) corrections via a finite resolvent identity, the authors avoid an almost‑sure Neumann‑series assumption and provide explicit remainder bounds for training error. Numerical experiments demonstrate that including mixed train–test covariance tensors is essential for accurate test error predictions and reveal a width–regularization boundary where second‑order truncation becomes unreliable.
By Taeyoung Kim
arXiv:2606. 26975v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Empirical Bayes (EB) estimators can match the first-order asymptotic risk of maximum likelihood (ML) while behaving very differently at second order: recent excess mean squared error (XMSE) analysis shows that kernel-based EB estimation may be worse than ML when the kernel is poorly aligned with the true parameter.
By Minghao Chen, Jiale Zheng
arXiv:2303. 08777v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Cross-validation is one of the most widely used tools for risk estimation and model selection in statistics and machine learning, yet its theoretical properties when embedded in a learning procedure remain insufficiently understood.
By Diego Marcondes, Cl\'audia Peixoto
arXiv:2607. 07513v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-supervised learning matches supervised accuracy from a fraction of the labels, but the labeled-sample efficiency behind this has lacked a theoretical explanation.
By Adam M. Oberman
Empirical Bayes (EB) estimators can match the first-order asymptotic risk of maximum likelihood (ML) while behaving very differently at second order: recent excess mean squared error (XMSE) analysis shows that kernel-based EB estimation may be worse than ML when the kernel is poorly aligned with the true parameter. This paper turns that diagnostic into a design principle.
arXiv:2406. 04425v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A fundamental problem in machine learning is understanding the effect of early stopping on the parameters obtained and the generalization capabilities of the model.
By Rishi Sonthalia, Jackie Lok, Elizaveta Rebrova