arXiv:2602. 14913v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts.
By Farbod Siahkali, Ashwin Verma, Vijay Gupta
arXiv:2609.37298v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Conformal prediction provides set-valued predictions with distribution-free coverage guarantees, making it attractive for high-stakes image classificat...
By Julio Silva-Rodr\'iguez, Ender Konukoglu
arXiv:2606. 28598v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction sets should have high coverage to be useful, but some coverage notions are more practically relevant than others.
By Aabesh Bhattacharyya, Tiffany Ding, Rina Foygel Barber
arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...
By Teresa Bortolotti, Y. X. Rachel Wang, Xin Tong, Alessandra Menafoglio, Simone Vantini, Matteo Sesia
The paper introduces SMART, a lightweight recalibration technique that adjusts logits based on the margin between the top two logits, called the logit gap. It uses a soft-binned Expected Calibration Error objective to balance bias and variance, enabling stable updates even with limited calibration data. Experiments across various datasets and architectures show SMART achieves state‑of‑the‑art calibration with fewer parameters than existing methods.
By Haolan Guo, Linwei Tao, Haoyang Luo, Minjing Dong, Chang Xu
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.
By Junxian Liu, Hao Zeng, Hongxin Wei