arXiv Machine Learning By Aabesh Bhattacharyya, Tiffany Ding, Rina Foygel Barber

Conformal Prediction with Macro-Coverage Guarantees

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2606. 28598v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction sets should have high coverage to be useful, but some coverage notions are more practically relevant than others.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

Benchmarking non-conformity score functions in conformal prediction

Conformal prediction replaces single-class predictions with prediction sets that guarantee a pre-specified coverage probability. The paper reviews properties of non‑conformity score functions, presents examples from the literature, and proposes new modifications. It introduces a method to evaluate prediction set sizes and compares different score functions, including their effectiveness for class‑conditional conformal prediction with imbalanced classes.

By Sol Erika Boman
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

Noise-Adaptive Conformal Classification with Marginal Coverage

arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...

By Teresa Bortolotti, Y. X. Rachel Wang, Xin Tong, Alessandra Menafoglio, Simone Vantini, Matteo Sesia