arXiv:2606. 28598v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction sets should have high coverage to be useful, but some coverage notions are more practically relevant than others.
arXiv:2606. 14909v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for a pretrained classification model deployed under unknown distribution shift.
arXiv:2607. 18088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Standard evaluation of many recognition systems contains distribution shift by construction, since benchmarks place disjoint conditions in the training and test splits.
Conformal prediction replaces single-class predictions with prediction sets that guarantee a pre-specified coverage probability. The paper reviews properties of non‑conformity score functions, presents examples from the literature, and proposes new modifications. It introduces a method to evaluate prediction set sizes and compares different score functions, including their effectiveness for class‑conditional conformal prediction with imbalanced classes.
arXiv:2501.18060v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated pr...
arXiv:2606. 31577v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal predictions have attracted significant attention in the field of uncertainty quantification, mainly because of their strong marginal coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2602. 14913v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees under an exchangeability assumption, but these guarantees can fail if the data distribution shifts.
arXiv:2609.37298v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction provides set-valued predictions with distribution-free coverage guarantees, making it attractive for high-stakes image classificat...
arXiv:2601. 02998v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many fairness and distribution robustness problems, one has access to labeled data from multiple source distributions yet the test data may come from an arbitrary member or a mixture of them.
arXiv:2505. 19033v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used frequentist framework to quantify uncertainty by constructing prediction sets with user-specified marginal coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2511. 19359v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) has emerged as a powerful statistical framework for high-stakes classification applications.
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.
arXiv:2505. 15437v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable probability estimates by classifiers are essential in high-risk applications.