A Robust Evaluation of Probe Robustness: Lessons for Reliable OOD Uncertainty Quantification
Read the original on arXiv Computation and Language →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Computation and Language.
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arXiv:2606. 19868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Although large language models (LLMs) have shown strong capabilities across a wide range of tasks, their outputs often remain unreliable and may contain hallucinations, making uncertainty estimation (UE) essential for building trustworthy LLMs.
arXiv:2606. 27679v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probe-based uncertainty estimation (UE) has emerged as a prominent approach to detect hallucinations in Large Language Models (LLMs) by learning uncertainty from internal model signals.
Uncertainty estimation is essential not only for the trustworthy deployment of large language models (LLMs) but also as a foundation for self-refinement in LLM generation. However, existing approaches operate at suboptimal granularities: token-level scores lack semantic coherence, while sequence-level scores fail to localize errors.
Pinocchio is an external calibrator that provides fast uncertainty estimates for black-box language models. It predicts the correctness of responses from seven trained LLMs with an AUROC of 0.862 and can transfer zero‑shot to thirteen unseen models from eight organizations. The method requires only a single forward pass and no access to the target model’s internal states, and a lightweight 0.8B checkpoint achieves comparable performance.
arXiv:2608. 08700v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable evaluation of tool routing is critical as Large Language Models increasingly operate as autonomous agents.
arXiv:2603. 24929v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in large language model (LLM) outputs is critical for reliable deployment.