arXiv AI

From Signals to Transfer: A Factorised Study of Probe-Based Uncertainty Estimation in Large Language Models

arXiv:2606. 27679v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probe-based uncertainty estimation (UE) has emerged as a prominent approach to detect hallucinations in Large Language Models (LLMs) by learning uncertainty from internal model signals.

arXiv Computation and Language
Aug 28

Prediction of Prediction (PoP): Inter-Layer Activation Fusion for Single-Pass Hallucination Detection in Large Language Models

The paper introduces Prediction of Prediction (PoP), a method that fuses intermediate hidden representations across transformer layers during a single forward pass to detect hallucinations in large language models. PoP leverages internal hidden‑state transition dynamics to signal factual errors without extra decoding steps, achieving a 75.5% AUROC on the TruthfulQA benchmark with less than 1.2% added latency.

By Himal Badu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 17

Attention Dispersion as a Diagnostic Signal for Hallucination in Large Language Models

The paper proposes using the temporal volatility of internal attention mechanisms—measured by an unsupervised attention dispersion metric—as a diagnostic signal for hallucinations in large language models. It demonstrates that spikes in attention entropy within intermediate layers correlate with reasoning breakdowns, and shows statistically significant AUC improvements of up to +0.076 over output-based baselines on GSM8K and MATH-500 benchmarks using the Qwen2.5 model family.

By Shardul P. More, Tanuja S. Pawar
arXiv AI
2d ago

External Observers May See More Clearly: Cross-Model Span-Level Hallucination Detection in Large Language Models via Hidden State Probing

The paper proposes a hidden‑state probing method for detecting hallucinations at the span level in large language model outputs, moving beyond token‑wise binary classification. By examining layer‑wise activation patterns, the approach identifies the exact onset and continuation tokens of hallucinations, achieving higher precision‑recall AUC than random baselines despite class imbalance. Additionally, the authors introduce a cross‑model detection framework where one model observes another’s internal representations, showing that an external observer can match or surpass the generator’s own self‑detection of hallucination onsets, even when the observer is smaller.

By Kingshuk Gupta, Davide Buscaldi