arXiv:2605. 26703v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The classic concept of "calibrated forecasts" and its more recent refinement, "calibeating," are defined with respect to the standard quadratic scoring rule.
Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.
arXiv:2401. 14483v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In the current practices of machine learning, the evaluation of forecasts has become a cornerstone of scientific progress.
arXiv:2607. 12928v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the online binary sequential calibration problem.
arXiv:2606. 09517v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As renewable energy integration increases market volatility, probabilistic electricity price forecasting has become essential for effective risk management.
arXiv:2306. 02704v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce \emph{Calibrated Stackelberg Games (CSGs)}, a generalization of the standard Stackelberg Games (SGs) framework.
arXiv:2607. 16229v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as components of agentic systems that observe, plan, and act.
arXiv:2606. 03245v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Concepts of calibration formalize the compatibility between probabilistic predictions and the respective outcomes.