arXiv Machine Learning By Shikhar Shukla, Cristina Barboi

A Domain-Structured Ensemble Framework for Perioperative Outcome Prediction Using Electronic Health Record Data

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arXiv:2608. 08920v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Perioperative risk prediction models are often limited by narrow surgical populations, incomplete intraoperative data, poor calibration, and limited interpretability.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 3

What Is Missing in Surgical Risk Stratification and Outcome Prediction: A Scoping Review of End-to-End Machine Learning Approaches

arXiv:2607. 29090v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Postoperative adverse events, including mortality and morbidity, remain a major global burden, many of which are preventable through early identification of high-risk patients and targeted perioperative care.

By Yizhi Dong, Yuhe Ke, Hairil Rizal Abdullah, Yucheng Xing, Kevan Kai Bing Teo, Ling Huang, Mengling Feng
arXiv AI
Sep 24

A Leakage-Aware Multimodal Evaluation Framework for Early Intraoperative Acute Kidney Injury Prediction

The study introduces SynerT, a waveform-only hybrid temporal model that uses a causal dilated TCN and dilated recurrent layers to predict early intraoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). Two extensions, SynerT-MM and SynerT-Stack, incorporate hemodynamic summaries, preoperative covariates, and a leakage-safe stacked ensemble to improve discrimination and calibration. Evaluated on the VitalDB database with a strict 60‑minute prediction window, SynerT-Stack achieved the best performance across AUROC, AUPRC, and F1‑max, and demonstrated the greatest net clinical benefit after recalibration.

By Quang Minh Nguyen, Duc Minh Le, Ho Nhat Minh Nguyen, Thuy Quynh Nguyen, Trong Nghia Nguyen
arXiv AI
Sep 3

The Ceiling Is in the Channel: Auditing Learner Gaps and Measurement Frontiers in Clinical Prediction

The paper introduces a framework that distinguishes two causes of saturation in clinical prediction: a learner gap, where the model fails to use available information, and a measurement‑channel ceiling, where the recorded variables limit performance. It provides theoretical characterizations, finite‑sample diagnostics, and empirical audits across three large cohorts, showing that well‑tuned models approach the frontier while deficient learners leave large gaps. A PRISMA‑guided synthesis across 104 tasks reveals consistent channel‑level patterns, suggesting that improving the learner or the measurement channel can audit and potentially lift performance.

By Sayeed Shafayet Chowdhury, Nusrat Jahan, Snehasis Mukhopadhyay, Shiaofen Fang, Vijay R. Ramakrishnan
arXiv AI
Jul 24

A Knowledge-Injection Framework for Zero-Shot Adaptation of LLMs to Delirium Prediction

arXiv:2607. 20453v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models show promise for clinical prediction, but zero-shot performance on specialized tasks is limited by incomplete domain knowledge, especially for smaller locally deployable models.

By Jessica Sena, Shesadree Priyadarshani, Miguel Contreras, Bharat Gandhi, Scott Siegel, Subhash Nerella, Parisa Rashidi
arXiv AI
Aug 11

FoMoH: A clinically meaningful foundation model evaluation for structured electronic health records

arXiv:2505. 16941v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Foundation models (FMs) promise to address core limitations of traditional supervised machine learning: (i) reliance on large amounts of labeled data, (ii) task specificity, and (iii) poor transportability.

By Vincent Jeanselme, Zilin Jing, Aparajita Kashyap, Chao Pang, Florent Pollet, Young Sang Choi, Xinzhuo Jiang, Yuta Kobayashi, Yanwei Li, Sara Matijevic, Karthik Natarajan, Shalmali Joshi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Early Prediction of Liver Cirrhosis Up to Two Years in Advance: A Machine Learning Study Benchmarking Against the FIB-4 and APRI Scores

arXiv:2601. 00175v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Objective: Develop and evaluate machine learning (ML) models for predicting incident liver cirrhosis (LC) one and two years prior to diagnosis using routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data and benchmark their performance against the FIB-4 and APRI clinical scores.

By Zhuqi Miao, Ahmed G Qasem, Sujan Ravi, Jason T. Cheng, Abdulaziz Ahmed, Courtney W. Houchen, Sumayah Abed, Dilorom Azimdjanovna Zuparova, Abdulaziz Ahmed