arXiv Machine Learning

Adaptive digital twins for predictive decision-making: Online Bayesian learning of transition dynamics

arXiv:2512. 13919v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This work shows how adaptivity can enhance value realization of digital twins in civil engineering.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Graphical conditional generative modeling for digital twin modeling

arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.

By Zongren Zou, Th\'eo Bourdais, Ricardo Baptista, Houman Owhadi
arXiv AI
Jul 21

A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing

arXiv:2607. 18164v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift.

By Yi-Ping Chen, Ying-Kuan Tsai, Vispi Karkaria, Seul Lee, Daniel Apley, Wei Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

$\text{DT}^2$: Decision-Targeted Digital Twins

arXiv:2606. 25923v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A digital twin (DT) is a virtual model of a real-world system that can assist decision-making by simulating scenarios induced by different policies.

By Harry Amad, Mihaela van der Schaar
arXiv AI
Jul 17

Fully Offline Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2505. 22442v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Offline RL (ORL) promises safe and sample-efficient deployment but existing methods rely on undocumented online interactions for hyperparameter tuning and lack reliable fully offline estimates of initial online performance.

By Mattie Fellows, Clarisse Wibault, Uljad Berdica, Johannes Forkel, Maike Osborne, Jakob N. Foerster