arXiv:2511. 06609v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The accurate forecasting of complex, high-dimensional dynamical systems from observational data is a fundamental task across numerous scientific and engineering disciplines.
arXiv:2505. 23863v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding chaotic dynamics is a fundamental problem across scientific disciplines, including climate science, neuroscience, and fluid dynamics, yet direct experimentation and intervention in such systems are often infeasible.
arXiv:2608.22112v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a machine learning framework for identifying sparse, interpretable models of dynamical systems directly from time-series data. Our approac...
arXiv:2607. 00257v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate prediction of complex dynamical systems from noisy measurements remains a significant challenge in scientific computing.
arXiv:2604. 21097v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model with data-driven methods such as machine learning emulators.
arXiv:2604. 19465v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding how complex systems respond to perturbations, such as whether they will remain stable or what their most sensitive patterns are, is a fundamental challenge across science and engineering.
The paper introduces a data‑adaptive nonlinear vector autoregression (NVAR) model that replaces fixed polynomial or random feature maps with a shallow, trainable multilayer perceptron (MLP). By jointly training the MLP and a linear readout via gradient‑based optimization, the model learns data‑driven nonlinearities while maintaining a simple readout structure, improving scalability in high‑dimensional settings. Experiments on several chaotic systems, both noise‑free and synthetically noisy, show that this adaptive NVAR outperforms standard NVAR, a leaky echo state network (ESN), and a hybrid ESN in predictive accuracy, demonstrating robust forecasting under noisy conditions.
arXiv:2507. 03631v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Extracting interpretable mathematical models from complex dynamical systems is difficult, especially for chaotic dynamics observed with noisy experimental data.
arXiv:2509. 21751v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) is a cornerstone of numerical weather prediction, yet it remains computationally intensive and sensitive to initialization due to the non-convexity of its objective function.
arXiv:2507. 09652v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Low-dimensional chaotic systems such as the Lorenz-63 model are commonly used to benchmark system-agnostic methods for learning dynamics from data.
arXiv:2608. 16084v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural autoregressive models have rapidly emerged as powerful emulators of high-dimensional chaotic systems, yet their long-term instability and error growth remain poorly understood, leading to ad-hoc solutions.
arXiv:2606. 05618v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events -- such as earthquakes and coronal mass ejections -- are common in many chaotic dynamical systems, yet are difficult to characterize and predict due to the subtle instability mechanisms that drive them.
arXiv:2407. 06312v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Many systems resist analytical modeling, making data-driven inference of dynamics important.