arXiv Machine Learning

Posterior Tempering Explains Variance Inflation in Linear and Generalized Linear Thompson Sampling

arXiv:2609. 01999v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a variant of the Thompson Sampling (TS) algorithm, called $\alpha$-TS, for solving stochastic generalized linear bandit problems.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 15

High-Probability Regret Bounds for Feel-Good Thompson Sampling

The paper presents the first high‑probability regret bounds for both cumulative and current‑step variants of Feel‑Good Thompson Sampling (FGTS) in contextual bandits with general realizable function approximation. The bounds rely on decoupling coefficients and prior mass near the true reward function, and in the linear setting they achieve ≠d√T log(2T)+√T log(1/δ) regret with probability at least 1‑δ. This matches the dimension and horizon dependence of upper‑confidence‑bound algorithms up to logarithmic factors, while the high‑probability cost adds only linear dependence on log(1/δ).

By Xuheng Li, Qingyue Zhao, Quanquan Gu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Prior Diffusiveness and Regret in the Linear-Gaussian Bandit

arXiv:2601. 02022v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We prove that Thompson sampling exhibits $\tilde{O}(\sigma d \sqrt{T} + d r \sqrt{\mathrm{Tr}(\Sigma_0)})$ Bayesian regret in the linear-Gaussian bandit with a $\mathcal{N}(\mu_0, \Sigma_0)$ prior distribution on the coefficients, where $d$ is the dimension, $T$ is the time horizon, $r$ is the maximum $\ell_2$ norm of the actions, and $\sigma^2$ is the noise variance.

By Yifan Zhu, John C. Duchi, Benjamin Van Roy
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

We prove that $ρ\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $ρ$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms. Both this result and its bounded-support counterpart require only continuity of $ρ$: strictly weaker than the dominance condition of prior parametric Thompson Sampling results, and strictly weaker than the Lipschitz condition of UCB-type algorithms, yielding the first instance-optimal guarantees for non-Lipschitz functionals such as the Sharpe ratio without parametric reward assumptions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

arXiv:2606. 09191v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove that $\rho\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $\rho$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms.

By Joel Q. L. Chang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Exact Bayes Regret and Asymptotic Optimality in High-Dimensional Gaussian Bandits

The paper analyzes Bayesian linear bandits with isotropic Gaussian parameters, independent Gaussian arms, and Gaussian reward noise when the time horizon scales with the dimension. It derives explicit limits for the normalized posterior uncertainty and parameter overlaps, yielding exact regret curves for several policies—including Thompson sampling, posterior‑mean greedy selection, and scaled‑covariance variants. The results show that posterior‑mean greedy selection achieves the optimal Bayes regret, while Thompson sampling incurs a strictly larger leading regret whose ratio to greedy lies between one and two, approaching two for long horizons.

By Prakhar Singhvi (Abstract Math Institute), Yi Zou (Abstract Math Institute), Abhishek Bhattacharjee (Abstract Math Institute)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Randomized Exploration for Linear Bandits via Absolute Perturbations

arXiv:2606. 28616v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In stochastic linear bandits, the canonical Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm admits a simple frequentist regret analysis but can be computationally demanding, while Thompson Sampling (TS) is computationally attractive yet typically harder to analyze due to its non-optimistic nature.

By Toshinori Kitamura, Shuai Liu, Csaba Szepesv\'ari
arXiv Statistics ML
5d ago

Improved Regret Bounds for Gaussian Process Upper Confidence Bound in Bayesian Optimization

This paper tackles Bayesian optimization using Gaussian processes, focusing on minimizing regret when the objective function is drawn from a known GP. For a Matérn kernel with sufficient smoothness, the authors prove that the GP-UCB algorithm achieves a cumulative regret of “~O(√T) with high probability. They also establish an “O(√T ln²T)" regret bound for the squared exponential kernel, bridging the gap between previous upper bounds and Scarlett’s 2018 results. The analysis hinges on capturing the concentration of the input sequence generated by GP-UCB to refine the GP’s information‑gain estimates.

By Shogo Iwazaki