arXiv Machine Learning

Generalized Regret Analysis of Thompson Sampling using Fractional Posteriors

arXiv:2309. 06349v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Thompson sampling (TS) is one of the most popular and earliest algorithms to solve stochastic multi-armed bandit problems.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 15

High-Probability Regret Bounds for Feel-Good Thompson Sampling

The paper presents the first high‑probability regret bounds for both cumulative and current‑step variants of Feel‑Good Thompson Sampling (FGTS) in contextual bandits with general realizable function approximation. The bounds rely on decoupling coefficients and prior mass near the true reward function, and in the linear setting they achieve ≠d√T log(2T)+√T log(1/δ) regret with probability at least 1‑δ. This matches the dimension and horizon dependence of upper‑confidence‑bound algorithms up to logarithmic factors, while the high‑probability cost adds only linear dependence on log(1/δ).

By Xuheng Li, Qingyue Zhao, Quanquan Gu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

arXiv:2606. 09191v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove that $\rho\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $\rho$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms.

By Joel Q. L. Chang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

We prove that $ρ\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $ρ$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms. Both this result and its bounded-support counterpart require only continuity of $ρ$: strictly weaker than the dominance condition of prior parametric Thompson Sampling results, and strictly weaker than the Lipschitz condition of UCB-type algorithms, yielding the first instance-optimal guarantees for non-Lipschitz functionals such as the Sharpe ratio without parametric reward assumptions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Prior Diffusiveness and Regret in the Linear-Gaussian Bandit

arXiv:2601. 02022v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We prove that Thompson sampling exhibits $\tilde{O}(\sigma d \sqrt{T} + d r \sqrt{\mathrm{Tr}(\Sigma_0)})$ Bayesian regret in the linear-Gaussian bandit with a $\mathcal{N}(\mu_0, \Sigma_0)$ prior distribution on the coefficients, where $d$ is the dimension, $T$ is the time horizon, $r$ is the maximum $\ell_2$ norm of the actions, and $\sigma^2$ is the noise variance.

By Yifan Zhu, John C. Duchi, Benjamin Van Roy
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Exact Bayes Regret and Asymptotic Optimality in High-Dimensional Gaussian Bandits

The paper analyzes Bayesian linear bandits with isotropic Gaussian parameters, independent Gaussian arms, and Gaussian reward noise when the time horizon scales with the dimension. It derives explicit limits for the normalized posterior uncertainty and parameter overlaps, yielding exact regret curves for several policies—including Thompson sampling, posterior‑mean greedy selection, and scaled‑covariance variants. The results show that posterior‑mean greedy selection achieves the optimal Bayes regret, while Thompson sampling incurs a strictly larger leading regret whose ratio to greedy lies between one and two, approaching two for long horizons.

By Prakhar Singhvi (Abstract Math Institute), Yi Zou (Abstract Math Institute), Abhishek Bhattacharjee (Abstract Math Institute)
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

The Price of Current-Effect Inference in Nonstationary Multi-Armed Bandits

The paper studies the trade‑off between maximizing rewards and accurately estimating current treatment effects in nonstationary multi‑armed bandits. For $K$‑armed bandits with H"older‑smooth mean rewards, the authors derive minimax bounds on expected dynamic regret under a high‑probability simultaneous coverage requirement for all current effects. They propose the TRACE algorithm, which achieves a regret–precision trade‑off that separates reward‑learning regret from the unavoidable cost of refreshing current‑effect estimates, and extend the method with an empirical‑Bernstein e‑process to adapt exploration while preserving worst‑case guarantees.

By Sharan Sahu, Martin T. Wells
arXiv AI
Oct 2

Bandits with Multiple Optimal Arms: Minimax Regret and Non-Adaptivity

The paper investigates multi‑armed bandits where several arms are optimal. It refines previous sub‑sampling algorithms to achieve a minimax regret of τO((K−A)/√(KA)·√T), improving on earlier bounds. A matching lower bound is provided, showing the rate is nearly optimal, and the authors demonstrate that knowing the number of optimal arms A (within constant factors) is essential for near‑optimal performance.

By Kaixuan Ji, Qiwei Di, Qingyue Zhao, Heyang Zhao, Quanquan Gu