arXiv Machine Learning

Automatic Construction of Strong Simple Baselines

The paper proposes using large language models to automatically build simple baselines for deep learning studies in the physical and life sciences. By assembling 36 supervised classification and regression tasks from high‑impact journals, the authors show that the generated baselines recover a median of 95.5% of the performance gap between a trivial predictor and the deep learning model, and in 12 studies even match or surpass the model’s performance. The work also explores how baseline quality varies across domains, venues, and the influence of test‑time compute and contextual information.

arXiv AI
6d ago

Learning Scientific Trajectories to Predict Future Biomedical Discoveries

ForeSCITE is a framework that uses large language models to analyze temporal patterns in biomedical conclusions. It clusters published conclusions, estimates a direction that separates earlier from more recent findings within each cluster, and projects conclusion embeddings along these directions. The projected coordinates are decoded into natural‑language hypotheses, and retrospective evaluations show that ForeSCITE expands semantic coverage, introduces novel biomedical entity pairs, and identifies plausible CAR‑T hypotheses that experts deem biologically relevant.

By Chia-Hsuan Chang, Brian Ondov, Jiang Lv, Lan Jiang, Yunmai Wang, Haerin Song, Xueqing Peng, Qiaozhu Mei, Xiaolei Su, Hua Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

Do Language Models Know What Compelling Scientific Evidence Looks Like?

The paper introduces EDB-Bio, a benchmark of 96,000 episodes drawn from real biological studies—drug‑perturbation transcriptomics, CRISPR screens, and GWAS—to test whether language models can weigh empirical evidence and predict hypothesis truth. Initial results show that both open‑weight and frontier models are systematically underconfident, matching a trivial base‑rate forecaster in Brier score, but post‑training with proper scoring rules improves calibration and discrimination. In a downstream experiment‑selection task, a calibrated model (Ibis0) outperforms the best frontier model by 2.5×, and Bayes‑factor analysis reveals how models update beliefs, align with expert relevance judgments, and expose biases.

By Conor Igoe, Gabriel Grand, Zane Koch, Albert Bou, Eli Moss, Michaela M. Hinks, Samuel G. Rodriques, Andrew White, Siddharth Narayanan
arXiv AI
Jun 30

Beyond IID: How General Are Tabular Foundation Models, Really?

arXiv:2606. 30410v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for predictive machine learning on tabular data have recently gained significant traction in academia and industry.

By Lennart Purucker, Andrej Tschalzev, Nick Erickson, Gioia Blayer, David Holzm\"uller, Alan Arazi, Alexander Pfefferle, Mustafa Tajjar, Ga\"el Varoquaux, Frank Hutter
arXiv AI
Jul 13

TheBioCollection: Unified Pre-Training Scale LLM Corpus for Biology

arXiv:2607. 08803v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The push toward large language models for biology (BioLM) has created a need for training corpora that can endow models with a genuine understanding of biology.

By Hyunjin Seo, Hyeon Hwang, Gyubok Lee, Jay Shin, Jimin Park, Taesoo Kim, Sanghoon Lee, Hongjoon Ahn, Sungjun Han, Sangwon Jung
arXiv AI
Sep 17

REPAIR: Resolving Long-Tail Confusion in Scientific Retrievers via Fact-Verified Iterative Refinement

REPAIR is a self‑evolving data augmentation framework designed to improve scientific dense retrievers by addressing long‑tail concept gaps and fact sensitivity. It iteratively generates training data through diagnosis of long‑tail concepts, API‑guided evidence expansion, and hard negative mining, thereby grounding retrieval in factual reality. Experiments show that REPAIR outperforms 19 strong baselines across nine materials science and biomedical benchmarks.

By Yerim Oh, Gunhee Kim