arXiv Machine Learning

A Model-Agnostic Physics-Guided Adapter for Few-Shot Transfer of Coastal Flood Prediction Models to Unseen Regions

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Efficient Continuous DEM Reconstruction under Limited Target-Resolution Supervision

The paper introduces SCOPE, a method for reconstructing high‑resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from coarser‑resolution training pairs. SCOPE learns a continuous terrain representation by predicting a latent coefficient field on a low‑resolution grid and reusing local Fourier residual functions, thereby decoupling coefficient prediction from output‑grid construction. Experiments on diverse land–ocean datasets show that SCOPE outperforms competing methods across six metrics, reduces reconstruction error by about 12 % at three‑times‑unseen scale, and achieves these gains with only a modest increase in computational cost.

By Zekai Shi, Meng Zhang, Haokun Zhang, Bo Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

DELUGE: Towards Continental-Scale Daily Pluvial Flood Damage Prediction via Interpretable Conditioning on Foundation Model Embeddings

arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.

By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv AI
Aug 20

MorphoGP: A Nonparametric Framework for Predicting Equilibrium Beach Profiles Under Tidal Influence

MorphoGP is a nonparametric Gaussian process framework designed to predict equilibrium beach profiles under tidal influence. It first classifies beach morphologies using a ContourCluster model based on contrastive learning, then trains a specialized Gaussian process expert for each category to learn relationships between environmental descriptors (waves, tides, sediments) and beach shape. A Gating Net probabilistically combines the experts’ outputs, achieving a 59.3% reduction in test RMSE compared to the best baseline, with a final RMSE of 0.297 m on over 180 Chinese coast beach profiles.

By Xi Wu, Yanqing Wei, Hang Yin, Pengze Li, Hongshuai Qi, Xi Chen
arXiv AI
Jul 28

AIFL: A Global Daily Streamflow Forecasting Model Using a Deterministic LSTM Pre-trained on ERA5-Land and Fine-tuned on IFS

arXiv:2602. 16579v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable global streamflow forecasting is essential for flood preparedness and water resource management, yet data-driven models often suffer from a performance gap when transitioning from historical reanalysis to operational forecast products.

By Maria Luisa Taccari, Kenza Tazi, Ois\'in M. Morrison, Andreas Grafberger, Juan Colonese, Corentin Carton de Wiart, Christel Prudhomme, Cinzia Mazzetti, Matthew Chantry, Florian Pappenberger