arXiv Machine Learning

Local Violation Certification for Linear Predict-Then-Optimize Pipelines

arXiv:2608. 04474v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data-driven decision pipelines combining predictive machine learning models with downstream optimization software are increasingly used to make high-stakes operational decisions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

Calibrating Decision Robustness via Inverse Conformal Risk Control

arXiv:2510. 07750v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient protection or overly conservative and costly solutions.

By Wenbin Zhou, Shixiang Zhu
arXiv AI
1d ago

Graph Machine Learning: An Opportunity for Power Systems

arXiv:2608. 16494v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern power systems face growing operational complexity driven by the integration of renewable energy sources, decentralization, and the need for real-time decision-making across a wide range of timescales.

By Martin Sadric, Sebastian P\"utz, Christian Nauck, Veit Hagenmeyer, Frank Hellmann, Dirk Witthaut, Benjamin Sch\"afer
arXiv AI
Jul 16

Audited Selective Verification for Risk-Controlled N-1 Thermal Contingency Screening under Deployment Shift

arXiv:2607. 13221v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time N-1 contingency screening in an energy management system trades assurance against cost: verifying every credible outage with full power flow is too slow, while fast linear-sensitivity screening gives no statistical guarantee and can silently pass unsafe operating points, especially when a controller drives the system into unfamiliar regimes.

By Jayakumar Manoharan
arXiv AI
Jun 29

Halt Fast! Early Stopping for Certified Robustness

arXiv:2606. 27694v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Randomized Smoothing (RS) provides rigorous robustness guarantees for neural networks without architectural constraints, yet its adoption is limited by extreme computational costs.

By Andrew C. Cullen, Paul Montague, Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 27

Smart predict-then-robustly-optimize

arXiv:2607. 21773v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose and study a robust variant of the smart predict-then-optimize approach that accounts for prediction shifts due to disturbance in the covariate feature space.

By Aakil Caunhye, Xuefei Lu, Belen Martin-Barragan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Cost-Sensitive Conformal Prediction and Human-in-the-Loop Abstention for Imbalanced High-Stakes Decision Support: A Multi-Domain Benchmark

arXiv:2607. 27143v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-stakes decision systems in credit scoring, fraud detection, healthcare, and industrial safety require reliable uncertainty quantification under severe class imbalance and asymmetric error costs.

By Manpreet Singh, Akshatha Srikantha, Shyamal Lakhanpal