Annual Earth‑observation embeddings, specifically Tessera, can encode wildfire disturbance signals well enough to map burned areas without needing curated fire‑specific imagery or dense time‑series analysis. In tests, linear models using a single Tessera embedding matched or outperformed paired pre‑ and post‑fire HLS imagery and post‑fire imagery alone, achieving high F1 scores for burn‑scar delineation and regional mapping. The approach successfully mapped all same‑year fires in benchmark scenes, recovered 97% of California burned area without California training data, transferred to European fires with high accuracy, and even estimated ignition timing within a 13‑day error margin.
"whyItMatters":"The study demonstrates that pre‑trained annual embeddings can simplify and scale burned‑area mapping, reducing reliance on dense time‑series data and enabling more efficient wildfire monitoring."
By Jovana Knezevic, Clement Atzberger, Zhengpeng Feng, Adam F. A. Pellegrini, Srinivasan Keshav, David Coomes
The article introduces an open image dataset for active‑fire segmentation in satellite imagery, comprising 2,148 image‑mask pairs from 25 California wildfires captured between July 2020 and August 2026. Each 512×512 pixel, three‑channel image is a Sentinel‑2 Level‑2A composite of bands B12, B11, and B8A, with a fixed linear rendering applied uniformly. Masks distinguish background, short‑wave‑infrared rule‑based active fire, and invalid observations, and the dataset includes chip‑level metadata, an incident‑disjoint split, and a mask‑blind analyst review of 233 test chips.
By Shreyan Mitra, Mohammadreza Narimani, Parastoo Farajpoor
WildfireSpreadBench evaluates machine‑learning models for predicting next‑day wildfire spread, comparing five discriminative and one generative architecture on the WildfireSpreadTS dataset. The study shows that model rankings differ markedly when using Average Precision versus threshold‑dependent metrics such as F1 and IoU, revealing three distinct prediction profiles—over‑predicting, balanced, and under‑predicting—that AP alone cannot distinguish. Expanding input channels modestly affected AP, underscoring that AP may favor models with predictions poorly suited for operational use.
By Arin Gopakumar, Marco Pannozzo
arXiv:2603.02465v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Machine learning-based wildfire detection has advanced significantly using deep learning models trained on large wildfire image and video dat...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Ahmad Faiz Tharima, Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir, Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ahmet Enis Cetin
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
The paper presents modular deep learning augmentations for next‑day wildfire spread prediction, including wind‑ and slope‑conditioned attention biases, physics‑feature retrieval‑augmented output correction, and fire‑conditioned dual‑stream gating. These modules are evaluated on five backbone models using the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, with staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The best augmented SwinUNETR model achieves an F1 score of 0.4216 and an AUC‑PR of 0.3673, while a mixed ensemble reaches 0.4292 and 0.3790, demonstrating that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality can be simultaneously improved.
By Miguel Esparza, Aydin Ayanzadeh Ahmad Mousavi, Ali Mostafavi
The paper proposes a data-driven protocol that uses multispectral Landsat‑8 imagery and connected‑component analysis to characterize fire‑region size distributions for active wildfire segmentation. Three segmentation architectures—U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer—are evaluated under different SWIR‑based spectral configurations, with U‑Net showing the strongest robustness and SWIR2 consistently delivering the best results. The study highlights the importance of both spectral band selection and architectural design for robust satellite‑based active wildfire mapping, especially when training on low fire‑pixel density images.
By Matheus F. Kovaleski, Cristiano Premebida, Jo\~ao Ruivo Paulo
arXiv:2607. 16472v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past decades, the frequency of global wildfires has been increasing steadily.
By Yugong Zeng, Jonathan Wu
arXiv:2609.36315v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Wildfires are an increasing hazard to ecosystems, air quality, and human systems, creating a growing need for datasets that support systematic develo...
By Arya Kondur, Giosue Migliorini, Cameron Schmitt, Francesco Immorlano, Tairan Wang, Rebecca C. Scholten, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou, Gary Johnson, Chris Lautenberger, Valentin Waeselynck, J. Shane Romsos, Kasra Shamsaei, Alejandro Tejedor, Tianjia Liu, Yang Chen, Padhraic Smyth, James T. Randerson
arXiv:2512. 07925v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Ongoing armed conflict in Sudan highlights the need for rapid monitoring of conflict-related fire-affected areas.
By Kuldip Singh Atwal, Dieter Pfoser, Daniel Rothbart
arXiv:2412. 02831v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The increasing accessibility of radiometric thermal imaging sensors for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) offers significant potential for advancing AI-driven aerial wildfire management.
By Bryce Hopkins, Leo ONeill, Michael Marinaccio, Mobin Habibpour, Eric Rowell, Russell Parsons, Sarah Flanary, Irtija Nazim, Carl Seielstad, Fatemeh Afghah
The paper examines RGB‑infrared fusion for binary wildfire segmentation using UAV imagery on the FLAME3 dataset. It compares RGB and infrared baselines with three fusion strategies across U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer architectures. Results show thermal data dominates segmentation performance, and feature‑level fusion with transformer‑based models yields the best results.
By Matheus F. Kovaleski, Lu\'is Garrote, Cristiano Premebida, J\'er\^ome Mendes, Jo\~ao Ruivo Paulo