arXiv Statistics ML

Recertifying decisions via e-closure: uniform improvements of conformal risk control and randomized e-BH

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 30

ReCIRC: Rectified Conformal Risk Control

arXiv:2609.38112v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many applications of black-box predictive models require controlling task-relevant error rates, such as missed lesion pixels in segmentation or misse...

By Bruno Marcondes e Resende, Helton Graziadei, Thiago Rodrigo Ramos, Rafael Izbicki
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

A Joint Finite-Sample Certificate for Adaptive Selective Conformal Risk Control

arXiv:2606. 08517v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Selective predictors answer on confident inputs and abstain elsewhere; deploying one safely needs a single finite-sample certificate that simultaneously upper-bounds the selected risk, lower-bounds the acceptance probability $\pacc$ above a floor $\pmin$, and lower-bounds the deployment utility.

By Xiaoli Yu, Jiamiao Liu
arXiv AI
4d ago

CASEL: Consequence-Aware Selective Execution for Reliable Long-Horizon Tool-Using Agents

CASEL (Consequence-Aware Selective Execution Layer) is a runtime allocation policy for tool‑using language agents that chooses among direct execution, verification, sandboxing, clarification, approval, and abstention for each proposed tool call. It combines calibrated failure probability, state‑dependent consequence, reversibility, ambiguity, and evidence freshness to minimize a per‑mode cost. In controlled simulations, CASEL cuts harmful‑side‑effect trajectories from 14.75 % to 7.02 % and reduces mean normalized harm from 0.184 to 0.123 compared to an uncertainty‑ranked gate.

By Yanyan Zhang, Fei Shen, Ting Yan, Hao Zhang