arXiv:2603.19899v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Autocorrelation is a common property of time-series, where each observation is dependent on its predecessors. In deep time-series forecasting...
By Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Qingsong Wen, Jialin Yu, Zhichao Chen, Chunyuan Zheng, Xiaoxi Li, Zhixuan Chu, Chao Xu, Mingming Gong, Haoxuan Li, Yuan Lu, Zhouchen Lin, Philip Torr, Yan Liu
arXiv:2402.02399v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Time series modeling presents unique challenges due to autocorrelation in both historical data and future sequences. While current research p...
By Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Zhichao Chen, Degui Yang, Sen Zhang, Yifei Yang, Xinggao Liu, Haoxuan Li, Dacheng Tao
AliO: Output Alignment Matters in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting proposes a new method, AliO, to improve output alignment in LTSF models by reducing discrepancies in prediction outputs for the same timestamps across both time and frequency domains. The authors introduce a Time Alignment Metric (TAM) to quantify alignment, contrasting with traditional MSE metrics that only measure distance to ground truth. Experiments demonstrate that AliO can increase TAM by up to 58.2% while maintaining or improving forecasting performance by up to 27.5%.
By Kwangryeol Park, Jaeho Kim, Seulki Lee
arXiv:2510.24574v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Training time-series forecasting models requires aligning the conditional distribution of model forecasts with that of the label sequence. Th...
By Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Yuan Lu, Zhixuan Chu, Xiaoxi Li, Shuting He, Zhichao Chen, Haoxuan Li, Qingsong Wen, Zhouchen Lin
arXiv:2602. 02288v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks.
By Zheng Li, Jerry Cheng, Huanying Gu
arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.
By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv:2609.39789v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Real-world time series forecasting systems operate under non-stationary data streams, where forecasting performance may degrade over time. Although r...
By Yeryeong Kwak, Yoo-Min Jung, Jonghun Park
arXiv:2606. 08262v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have opened new possibilities for time series forecasting by enabling alignment between temporal patterns and pretrained word embeddings.
By Kexuan Zhang, Xiaobei Zou, Cesare Alippi, Gary G. Yen, Yang Tang
arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
arXiv:2608. 06223v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited.
By Yixiong Xiao, Congxi Xiao, Jingbo Zhou
arXiv:2511.00053v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: The design of learning objectives is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing learning objectives such as mean squared er...
By Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Yuan Lu, Zhichao Chen, Tianqiao Liu, Shuting He, Zhixuan Chu, Qingsong Wen, Haoxuan Li, Zhouchen Lin
While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited. Since RAG has proven effective in enhancing the capabilities of large language models by incorporating relevant external information, retrieving similar time series sequences as references might also improve accuracy in time series forecasting tasks.