arXiv:2603.19899v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Autocorrelation is a common property of time-series, where each observation is dependent on its predecessors. In deep time-series forecasting...
arXiv:2505.17847v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Training time-series forecasting models poses unique challenges in loss function design. Most existing approaches adopt temporal mean squared...
arXiv:2511.00053v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The design of learning objectives is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing learning objectives such as mean squared er...
arXiv:2604. 05543v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows.
AdaCast introduces a conditional parameter generation framework that tailors time‑series forecasting models to each input by producing low‑rank updates for a frozen pretrained foundation model. Unlike static adaptation methods that apply a single set of updates to all inputs, AdaCast generates input‑specific updates during both training and inference. Experiments on six public benchmarks show that AdaCast consistently outperforms static baselines in in‑domain forecasting and improves zero‑shot generalization to unseen datasets across domains.
arXiv:2510.24574v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Training time-series forecasting models requires aligning the conditional distribution of model forecasts with that of the label sequence. Th...
arXiv:2608. 06223v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited.
arXiv:2602. 02288v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current time-series forecasting models are primarily based on transformer-style neural networks.
While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited. Since RAG has proven effective in enhancing the capabilities of large language models by incorporating relevant external information, retrieving similar time series sequences as references might also improve accuracy in time series forecasting tasks.
arXiv:2602. 01588v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multimodal time series forecasting is crucial in real-world applications, where decisions depend on both numerical data and contextual signals.
arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.
The paper introduces CoSPOT, an online time series forecasting framework that uses a frozen pre‑trained large language model (LLM) as the core forecaster. CoSPOT adapts to evolving data by applying compositional spectral prompts—frequency‑domain basis prompts weighted by their amplitudes—allowing the model to represent unseen patterns as new combinations of learned bases while updating few parameters. Experiments on real‑world datasets show CoSPOT’s effectiveness in extended online phases and cross‑dataset scenarios with significant distribution shifts.