arXiv Statistics ML

Toward a Semiparametric Efficiency Theory under Equality Constraints in Nested Markov Models

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 3

Nonparametric Partial Disentanglement via Mechanism Sparsity: Sparse Actions, Interventions and Sparse Temporal Dependencies

arXiv:2401. 04890v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This work introduces a novel principle for disentanglement we call mechanism sparsity regularization, which applies when the latent factors of interest depend sparsely on observed auxiliary variables and/or past latent factors.

By S\'ebastien Lachapelle, Pau Rodr\'iguez L\'opez, Yash Sharma, Katie Everett, R\'emi Le Priol, Alexandre Lacoste, Simon Lacoste-Julien
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25

Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects

The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.

By Wenlong Ji, Lihua Lei, Asher Spector
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

The observational partial order of causal structures with latent variables

The paper studies observational dominance among causal structures with latent variables, defining one structure as dominating another if it can realize all distributions that the other can over the same visible variables. It provides a full characterization of this dominance partial order for three visible variables and a partial one for four, and shows that many equivalence classes are distinguished by nontrivial inequality constraints similar to Bell or instrumental inequalities. The authors also demonstrate that constraint‑based causal discovery algorithms relying only on conditional independence are much less powerful than those incorporating nested Markov and inequality constraints.

By Marina Maciel Ansanelli, Elie Wolfe, Robert W. Spekkens
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

Weighted Random Dot Product Graphs

arXiv:2505. 03649v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modeling of intricate relational patterns has become a cornerstone of contemporary statistical research and related data science fields.

By Bernardo Marenco, Paola Bermolen, Marcelo Fiori, Federico Larroca, Gonzalo Mateos