arXiv AI

EXAONE Demand 1.0: A Time Series Foundation Model for Demand Forecasting

EXAONE Demand 1.0 is a time‑series foundation model specifically designed for demand forecasting. It is built on a large, demand‑focused corpus of 11.3 million series and 48.4 billion observations, supplemented by a synthetic generator to capture under‑represented demand behaviors. The model uses a demand‑aware adapter with low‑rank branches for four demand classes and a router that weighs each branch based on eight scale‑free statistics, achieving superior performance over 36 existing TSFMs on 22 held‑out datasets.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Time-Aware Prior Fitted Networks for Zero-Shot Forecasting with Exogenous Variables

arXiv:2603. 15802v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many time series forecasting settings, the target time series is accompanied by exogenous covariates, such as promotions and prices in retail demand; temperature in energy load; calendar and holiday indicators for traffic or sales; and grid load or fuel costs in electricity pricing.

By Andres Potapczynski, Ravi Kiran Selvam, Tatiana Konstantinova, Malcolm Wolff, Kin G. Olivares, Ruijun Ma, Michael W. Mahoney, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Boris N. Oreshkin, Dmitry Efimov
arXiv AI
Sep 18

QUALS: Corpus Equilibrium for Universal Forecasting via Pattern Quantization and Learnability Synchronization

QUALS is a large‑scale time‑series corpus equilibrium framework designed to improve data efficiency for zero‑shot forecasting. It uses pattern quantization to decode heterogeneous patterns from mixed corpora and a learnability synchronization mechanism to calibrate sampling weights, bridging the optimization gap between simple and complex motifs. Benchmarks show that pre‑training on QUALS yields superior zero‑shot performance even with reduced training budgets.

By Yujie Li, Zezhi Shao, Chengqing Yu, Yisong Fu, Weijie Zhu, Yifan Du, Jilin Hu, Bin Yang, Yongjun Xu, Fei Wang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

How Good Can Linear Models Be for Time-Series Forecasting?

Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

REGEN: Reference-Guided Synthetic Multivariate Time Series Generation for Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 05264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences.

By Moulik Gupta (Birla AI Labs), Dhruv Kumar (Birla AI Labs, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani), Murari Mandal (Birla AI Labs, Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology), Saurabh Deshpande (Birla AI Labs)
arXiv AI
Sep 10

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

Tabby: An Open Pretraining Recipe for Time Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2609.13956v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this report, we release Tabby, a long context probabilistic time series foundation model, together with a complete and open recipe of how it was bui...

By Shifeng Xie, Bahaeddine Abdessalem, Zehao Xiao, Youssef Attia El Hili, Ambroise Odonnat, Zhiwei Dong, Lei Zan, Themis Palpanas, Jianfeng Zhang, Lujia Pan, Keli Zhang, Malik Tiomoko