Staying Alive: Uncensored Survival Analysis with Tabular Foundation Models
arXiv:2606. 03689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival Analysis (SA) is a statistical framework that models the time span until some event of interest occurs.
arXiv:2606. 03689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival Analysis (SA) is a statistical framework that models the time span until some event of interest occurs.
arXiv:2608. 16864v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In survival analysis the way covariates act on the risk of an event often differs between early and late failure times, yet hazard- and mean-based summaries collapse this variation into a single number.
The paper introduces Proximal Survival Bridge learning (PSB), a flexible doubly robust framework for estimating causal effects on right‑censored time‑to‑event outcomes under unmeasured confounding. PSB builds on proximal causal inference to produce outcome‑bridge, treatment‑bridge, and doubly robust estimators, and offers two flexible bridge learners: PSB‑K, a kernel estimator with low‑rank time decomposition, and PSB‑N, a neural estimator trained with a projected maximum‑moment‑restriction loss. Experiments on a standard SEM benchmark, a proximal semi‑synthetic ACTG study, and the real‑world Framingham study show PSB‑K excels on SEM and ACTG data, while PSB‑N provides greater stability on Framingham, with additional analyses demonstrating robustness to proxy quality and censoring levels.
The paper investigates efficient learning of survival analysis models when data are subject to outcome-dependent truncation and right-censoring. It demonstrates that Cox regression can be trained with first‑order optimization when the baseline hazard is known, but joint learning of the baseline hazard introduces strict suboptimal local minima. Experiments on four datasets show that accounting for truncation reduces prediction bias and yields orders‑of‑magnitude speedups over expectation maximization.
The paper investigates efficient learning of survival analysis models when data are subject to outcome‑dependent truncation and right‑censoring. It shows that Cox regression can be trained with first‑order methods when the baseline hazard is known, but joint estimation of the baseline hazard introduces non‑convexity and local minima. Experiments on four datasets demonstrate that accounting for truncation reduces bias, works with neural networks, and yields orders‑of‑magnitude speedups over expectation‑maximization.
arXiv:2606. 04564v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have made rapid progress in standard classification and regression, but time-to-event survival prediction tasks have remained largely untouched.
arXiv:2608. 06288v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This work presents a novel attention-based framework for estimating the Individual Probability of Treatment Benefit (IPTB) in survival analysis contexts.
arXiv:2601. 22259v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end before the event of interest occurs.
arXiv:2606. 08305v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Externally controlled survival trials are increasingly used when concurrent randomized controls are infeasible, particularly in oncology and rare-disease settings with time-to-event endpoints.
arXiv:2606. 18281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) are central to treatment decision-making in personalized medicine.
Joint Models simultaneously model longitudinal and survival outcomes, leveraging patterns in patients' longitudinal trajectory to improve the prediction of survival outcomes. The classical parametric...
arXiv:2212. 05260v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Proper scoring rules encourage probabilistic predictions that match the true underlying distribution and are central to model evaluation, with increasing relevance in automated workflows such as AutoML.