arXiv:2608. 04025v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Whole-slide survival models commonly provide risk rankings without calibrated statements about individual event times.
By Mingi Hong
arXiv:2606. 18281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) are central to treatment decision-making in personalized medicine.
By Daniel Klippert, Sarah Friedrich, Markus Pauly
arXiv:2606. 12006v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting time-to-event outcomes such as mortality is a fundamental task in clinical decision-making, commonly addressed through survival analysis.
By Minh-Khoi Pham, Luca Cotugno, Alina Sirbu, Tai Tan Mai, Martin Crane, Marija Bezbradica
arXiv:2607. 16802v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep survival models are evaluated almost exclusively by the concordance index (C-index), yet they are commonly trained using likelihood objectives such as the Cox partial likelihood, discrete-time negative log-likelihood, and DeepHit likelihood.
By Meixu Chen, Kai Wang, Jing Wang
arXiv:2608. 04046v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival analysis is an established framework for analyzing time-to-event data, yet many clinical machine learning studies still binarize the outcome before model training.
By Shashank Yadav, David M. Routman, Andrew Y. K. Foong
The paper explores how to adapt tabular foundation models (TabFMs) for censored time‑to‑event prediction by linking them with CoxPH and DeepHit and revising training procedures. It evaluates zero‑shot, classification‑based fine‑tuning, and survival‑head adaptations across 74 single‑risk and 4 competing‑risk datasets, finding that zero‑shot works best on small datasets while supervised adaptation excels as data grows. The study shows that the choice of adaptation interface and data regime critically influences TabFM transfer performance.
By Minh-Khoi Pham, Luca Cotugno, Dan Cernei, Alina Sirbu, Stefano Masi, Giuseppe Prencipe, Alessandro Pingitore, Patrizia Landi, Working Group on Uric Acid, Cardiovascular Risk of the Italian Society of Hypertension, Tai Tan Mai, Martin Crane, Marija Bezbradica
arXiv:2609.38181v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Survival analysis estimates time-to-event outcomes from patient covariates and is widely used for medical risk assessment. Patients seeking prognostic...
By Juan M Zambrano Chaves, Peniel Argaw, Risa Ueno, Carlo Bifulco, Kristina Young, Rom Leidner, Tristan Naumann, Hoifung Poon
arXiv:2608. 06288v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This work presents a novel attention-based framework for estimating the Individual Probability of Treatment Benefit (IPTB) in survival analysis contexts.
By Lev V. Utkin, Stanislav K. Kogan, Andrei V. Konstantinov
arXiv:2608. 16594v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Cancer survival prediction supports treatment planning, risk stratification, and follow-up management.
By Tianqi Xiang, Qixiang Zhang, Xinpeng Ding, Yi Li, Xiaomeng Li
arXiv:2608. 00271v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A wide range of statistical and machine learning methods have been proposed for survival analysis with competing risks, where the occurrence of one event (i.
By Bego\~na B. Sierra, Colin McLean, Peter S. Hall, Sarah Friedrich-Welz, Catalina A. Vallejos
The paper introduces a method for learning risk scores that remain reliable even when historical data contain unobserved confounders. By treating propensity weights as uncertain and applying sensitivity analysis with Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization, the authors formulate a robust learning problem solvable via an exponential cone program. Experiments on semi‑synthetic UCI data show the approach improves calibration by up to 29.2% over traditional benchmarks and 11.1% over the state of the art, without harming other performance metrics.
By Ryan Edmonds, Yingxiao Ye, Sina Aghaei, Andr\'es G\'omez, \c{C}a\u{g}{\i}l Ko\c{c}yi\u{g}it, Phebe Vayanos
The paper investigates efficient learning of survival analysis models when data are subject to outcome-dependent truncation and right-censoring. It demonstrates that Cox regression can be trained with first‑order optimization when the baseline hazard is known, but joint learning of the baseline hazard introduces strict suboptimal local minima. Experiments on four datasets show that accounting for truncation reduces prediction bias and yields orders‑of‑magnitude speedups over expectation maximization.
By Itai Zilberstein, Ioannis Anagnostides, Arman Kilic, Tuomas Sandholm