arXiv:2512. 21113v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers are increasingly adopted for modeling and forecasting time-series, yet their internal mechanisms remain poorly understood from a dynamical systems perspective.
arXiv:2605. 11287v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers.
arXiv:2501. 18322v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers, which are state-of-the-art in most machine learning tasks, represent the data as sequences of vectors called tokens.
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better handle high dimensionality and complex relationships, while adding explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
Selective state space models (SSMs) use a recurrence to mix token information, a process analogous to attention in transformers. By modeling token evolution as an ordinary differential equation and applying input‑to‑state stability, the study proves that SSMs exhibit local exponential stability of consensus equilibria and delineates their domain of attraction for time‑varying weight matrices. Experiments on a pretrained Mamba‑2 model reveal that the output gate controls the degree of consensus, preventing tokens from fully converging.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better capture short‑ and long‑term patterns across time and channel dimensions, while adding simple explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that a single‑layer SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.
The paper introduces a hybrid attention model that learns a unified time‑aware patch representation for irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) forecasting. It employs a time‑aware patch encoding to embed variable‑length intra‑patch timestamps, a time bias attention mechanism to adjust for temporal misalignment and asynchronous cross‑channel dependencies, and a hybrid causal mask on a decoder‑only Transformer to balance historical context with autoregressive forecasting. The authors also curate VersaTSA, a 30 B‑observation dataset preserving native sampling sparsity, and demonstrate state‑of‑the‑art zero‑shot performance on three IMTS benchmarks while remaining competitive on regular MTS tasks.
arXiv:2602.01605v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) leverage extensive pretraining to accurately predict unseen time series during inference, without the need fo...
arXiv:2604. 17121v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers encode structure in sequences via an expanding contextual history.
arXiv:2602. 16864v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series (TS) modeling has come a long way from early statistical, mainly linear, approaches to the current trend in TS foundation models.