The paper presents an incremental Learner Digital Twin that uses a lightweight knowledge graph to provide evidence‑grounded early warning in learning analytics. The twin is updated at temporal checkpoints by replaying learning traces and assessment records, enabling both feature extraction and explanation grounding. Evaluated on a public benchmark, the graph‑mediated approach preserves predictive performance while generating alerts that link risk decisions to specific evidence items and raw records.
By Ngoc Luyen Le, Marie-H\'el\`ene Abel, Bertrand Laforge
arXiv:2601. 01701v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Anomaly detection is increasingly becoming crucial for maintaining the safety, reliability, and efficiency of industrial systems.
By Mohammed Ayalew Belay, Adil Rasheed, Pierluigi Salvo Rossi
The paper proposes an event-based approach to predict transitions into vineyard disease‑risk periods within a 3–7 day window, rather than daily disease status. It defines events only after a minimum disease‑free gap to reduce label fragmentation and uses multi‑year agro‑meteorological data to capture humidity, rainfall, temperature, and seasonal patterns. Experiments with XGBoost, LSTM, and TCN models show that this formulation improves short‑horizon warning, highlighting trade‑offs among recall, lead time, and false alerts.
By Ivica Dimitrovski, Ivan Kitanovski, Danco Davcev, Slobodan Kalajdziski, Kosta Mitreski
arXiv:2606. 29721v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Maritime anomaly detection is essential for ensuring maritime safety, security, and efficient traffic management at sea, with Automatic Identification System (AIS) data serving as a primary data source.
By Youngseok Hwang, Sungho Bae, Dohun Lee, Jaeeun Seo, Jeehong Kim, Wonhee Lee, Hyunwoo Park
arXiv:2608. 11951v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events in air transport, such as severe arrival delays and abnormal air times, cause cascading network disruptions with substantial operational, economic, and safety costs.
By Karim Aly, Alexei Sharpanskykh, Jacco Hoekstra
arXiv:2604. 08870v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Student dropout is a persistent concern in Learning Analytics, yet comparative studies frequently evaluate predictive models under heterogeneous protocols, prioritizing discrimination over temporal interpretability and calibration.
By Rafael da Silva, Jeff Eicher, Gregory Longo
arXiv:2608. 00012v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated.
By Fengxiang Wang, Qiuyang Yu, Yueying Li, Mingshuo Chen, Chengchi Fei, Kaiyi Xu, Lixin Gu, Wangxu Wei, Junchao Gong, Lipeng Ma, Jiong Wang, Fenghua Ling, Wenlong Zhang, Xue Yang, Wenjing Yang, Ben Fei, Long Lan
The paper proposes a proactive approach to road safety in Greater Sydney by using connected vehicle telemetry to predict risky driving events before crashes occur. It quantifies risky driving with g‑force thresholds and builds spatio‑temporal heatmaps to locate high‑risk zones. Eight predictive models were compared, with ARIMA achieving the lowest error and showing that simple time‑series methods can rival deep learning when data are limited, highlighting the value of IoT data for targeted safety interventions.
By Adriana-Simona Mih\u{a}i\c{t}\u{a}, Clarence Cheung, Artur Grigorev, Tuo Mao, David Lillo-Trynes
arXiv:2603. 11229v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning forecast systems are moving beyond point predictions to full predictive distributions for future outcomes y conditional on complex inputs x.
By Elizabeth Cucuzzella, Rafael Izbicki, Ann B. Lee
arXiv:2606. 17572v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learned dynamics models often answer global physical questions, such as fault severity or impact stiffness, by pooling a per-step feature sequence into one readout vector.
By Yifan Wang
arXiv:2601.01480v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Traffic forecasting systems rely on fixed sensor networks that frequently exhibit contiguous blackouts. Such outages are usually treated as i...
By Aman Sunesh (New York University), Allan Ma (New York University), Siddarth Nilol (New York University)
arXiv:2607. 14871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many operational time-series forecasting applications, such as crowd demand forecasting, the risk related to under-prediction is substantially higher than that of over-prediction.
By Theivaprakasham Hari, Yanan Xin, Winnie Daamen, Serge Paul Hoogendoorn, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser