The paper presents a deep learning credit risk early warning system that fuses heterogeneous data sources, such as transaction behaviors and social networks, using deep neural networks and attention mechanisms. By extracting multidimensional features, the system establishes an early identification mechanism for corporate and individual credit risks. Testing shows that this approach improves the accuracy and timeliness of risk warnings compared to traditional rule‑based engines.
By LiYang Wang (Washington University in St. Louis), Zhen Zhong (Georgetown University), Zhen Tian (University of Glasgow), Keyu Chen (Wuyi University), Keyu Chen (Wuyi University)
The study investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can translate technical explanations from credit risk models into stakeholder-friendly narratives. Using Freddie Mac loan data, the authors compare standard tabular models (XGBoost + SHAP) with alternative data pipelines (GNN + GNNExplainer and a bimodal mix) and generate explanations with three LLM configurations: a small fine‑tuned Gemma 3 4B, a large fine‑tuned DeepSeek R1 70B, and a zero‑shot Gemini 2.5. Findings show that the quality of explanations is more dependent on the evidence representation than on the LLM, that narratives reliably identify influential factors but are less consistent about the direction of influence, and that credit professionals demand higher evidentiary standards than non‑professionals.
By Sahab Zandi, Noah Kostesku, Christophe Mues, Mar\'ia \'Oskarsd\'ottir, Cristi\'an Bravo
arXiv:2607. 14416v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The interconnected nature of global financial systems makes them vulnerable to systemic risks, where the failure of a few institutions can trigger catastrophic cascading defaults.
By Rabimba Karanjai, Hemanth Madhavarao, Lei Xu, Weidong Shi
The paper introduces DTD‑VAE, a Variational Autoencoder that disentangles temporal dependencies to better predict credit risk. It uses an autoregressive feature inference module to capture temporal patterns among latent variables and an element‑wise gating mechanism in the generative module to assign independent weights to each latent dimension, especially those relevant to credit risk. Experiments on six real‑world datasets show the model outperforms existing methods, improving ROC‑AUC by 3.2%–4.86% and Accuracy Ratio by 6.41%–9.71%.
By Xiaobo Guo, Lu-an Dong, Yanbo Wang, Peng Zhang, Cai Zhi, Youru Li
arXiv:2609.14234v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Financial fraud in corporate transaction networks has grown more coordinated and harder to detect with rule-based engines and with classical learning...
By Sergei, Komarov
Credit risk detection, particularly mitigating individual fraud, is crucial for maintaining the stability of digital financial ecosystems. Accurately identifying credit fraud among billions of users is critical for minimizing financial losses and safeguarding the sustainability of inclusive financial services.
arXiv:2605. 23955v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility.
By Ruizhe Zhou, Xiaoyang Liu, Gaoyuan Du, Yi Zheng, Shouxi Ren, Deepayan Chakrabarti, Dengdu Jiang
arXiv:2608. 02168v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Credit risk detection, particularly mitigating individual fraud, is crucial for maintaining the stability of digital financial ecosystems.
By Xin Liu, Xiyuan Chen, Chenglong Wu, Xuan Zong, Jun Zhou, Dawei Cheng
arXiv:2607. 26859v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The monitoring of business conduct risk is hindered by sparse, uneven, and visibility-biased data.
By Tsuyoshi Iwata, Johannes Laurmaa, Ryohei Hisano
arXiv:2602. 03981v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Credit exposure in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) is often implicit and token-mediated, creating a dense web of inter-protocol dependencies.
By Aijie Shu, Wenbin Wu, Gbenga Ibikunle, Fengxiang He
arXiv:2606. 18444v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In recent years, credit card fraud detection has faced significant challenges due to highly imbalanced data, evolving fraud patterns, and complex relational structures among transaction entities.
By Rohit Tewari, Shubhankar Shilpi, Navin Chhibber, Devendra Singh Parmar, Sunil Khemka, Piyush Ranjan
arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke