arXiv:2510. 22298v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Uncovering the causal mechanisms of complex real-world systems remains a significant challenge, as these systems often entail high data collection costs and involve unknown interventions.
By Hans Jarett Ong, Yoichi Chikahara, Tomoharu Iwata
CIDER-FM is a causal foundation model that combines finite observational data with surrogate-interventional datasets to predict target conditional interventional distributions more accurately than using observational data alone. It employs an intervention-aware representation and hierarchical three‑axis attention to integrate information across variables, samples, and experimental regimes. Experiments on synthetic graphs, simulated data, and real‑world Causal Chambers data show that incorporating experimental context improves CID prediction performance.
By Yuche Gao, Arik Reuter, Siyuan Guo, Anish Dhir, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf, Adrian Weller
TabCausal is a causal discovery foundation model that learns to map datasets directly to causal graphs by pretraining across diverse causal environments. It uses a dynamic task construction strategy to expose the model to varied graph priors, mechanisms, noise models, dimensions, sample sizes, and intervention regimes, improving transferability from observational and mixed‑interventional data. On large synthetic benchmarks and a new protocol‑guided semantic benchmark, TabCausal outperforms many classical baselines and shows robust structure recovery, especially when interventional evidence is available.
By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
arXiv:2609.36881v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Causal foundation models (CFMs) pre-trained on data generated from various structural causal models (SCMs) have been proposed for estimating causal eff...
By Heejin Jung, Gyeongdeok Seo, Hoyoon Byun, Joseph Lee, Kyungwoo Song
arXiv:2602. 17187v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The problem of domain generalization concerns learning predictive models that are robust to distribution shifts when deployed in new, previously unseen environments.
By Sorawit Saengkyongam, Juan L. Gamella, Andrew C. Miller, Jonas Peters, Nicolai Meinshausen, Christina Heinze-Deml
arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.
By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui
arXiv:2603. 02204v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Selective conformal prediction can yield substantially tighter uncertainty sets when we can identify calibration examples that are exchangeable with the test example.
By Amir Asiaee, Kavey Aryan, James P. Long
arXiv:2607. 01104v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In Large Language Model (LLM) training, data mixing plays a pivotal role in determining model performance.
By Zinan Tang, Yukun Zhang, Shaomian Zheng, Zhuoshi Pan, Qizhi Pei, Dingnan Jin, Jun Zhou, Yujun Wang, Biqing Huang
arXiv:2609.06941v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Causal effect estimation asks how an outcome would change under an intervention, and medicine, economics, and public policy all treat it as a foundatio...
By Haohao Zhou
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.
By Christopher Stith, Medha Barath, Vahid Balazadeh, Jesse C. Cresswell, Rahul G. Krishnan
arXiv:2609.23753v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Generative world models aim to predict future states conditioned on actions, where action controllability is fundamental for reliable dynamics modeli...
By Yikun Miao, Fangqi Zhu, Quanxin Shou, Xiaoyi Pang, Zhengyang Yan, Junhao Li, Haodong Wang, Zicong Hong, Song Guo
arXiv:2609.37446v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Supervised causal discovery learns to infer causal structure for a new dataset from training datasets paired with structural labels. These training pai...
By Pingchuan Ma, Rui Ding, Bojun Huang, Shuai Wang