arXiv:2606. 17345v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Although pitch sequencing is a central topic in baseball analytics, previous studies have primarily focused on optimizing the final pitch within a single plate appearance, leaving the role of preceding setup pitches and their impact on long-term season-level performance insufficiently examined.
arXiv:2603. 15212v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Evaluating football player transfers is challenging because player actions depend strongly on tactical systems, teammates, and match context.
arXiv:2607. 11548v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Spatial football metrics such as pitch control assume access to the positions of all 22 players, yet the most widely available source of positional data -- the broadcast main camera -- shows only 10-16 of them at any moment.
The paper audits the Duckworth‑Lewis‑Stern (DLS) method, the standard for revising cricket scores after rain, using 8,150 international matches to generate 233,550 synthetic interruption scenarios. It finds two structured biases: a 137‑run prediction error range across match‑state buckets and a gender‑differential bias in ODIs, with women’s scores over‑predicted by an average of +7.63 runs versus +1.51 runs for men. The authors benchmark DLS against five modern machine‑learning models and introduce DLS‑Cal, a lightweight calibration layer that reduces overall bias by 31% in ODIs and 19% in T20Is, and a gender‑aware variant that nearly eliminates the residual bias for women’s ODIs.
The study introduces a framework that reconciles minute‑resolution athlete monitoring data with injury labels that are only available at the session level. By creating fixed‑time landmarks (10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 minutes) and generating a single representation per athlete‑session up to each landmark, the authors evaluate several machine‑learning models and data‑augmentation strategies on elite women’s football data. Results show that discrimination varies across landmarks, with TabPFN outperforming Logistic Regression at later landmarks but not consistently beating Random Forest, and that synthetic augmentation offers benefits only in specific conditions.
arXiv:2607. 26061v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pre-match tactical decision-making in professional football relies heavily on subjective expert analysis and identity-based scouting systems that cannot generalize to unseen teams.
arXiv:2607. 18084v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting a football match before kickoff requires more than knowing past results: a model must use changing information and make a clear prediction before the answer is available.
The paper introduces a landmark-based approach for classifying injury-associated athlete sessions using minute-resolution multimodal football monitoring data. Instead of labeling every minute, it creates a single representation per athlete-session at fixed time points (landmarks) that incorporates information up to that moment, thereby aligning the session-level injury label with the data. Experiments on 3,743 elite women's football athlete-sessions from the 2020 SoccerMon dataset evaluate various representation strategies and machine learning models, reporting ROC-AUC values between 0.367 and 0.607 and PR-AUC values between 0.0080 and 0.0150, with notable uncertainty across landmarks.
The paper introduces a landmark‑based approach to classify injury‑associated athlete sessions using minute‑resolution multimodal football monitoring data. Instead of labeling every minute, it creates a single representation per athlete‑session at fixed time points (landmarks) based on information up to that moment, thereby aligning the session‑level injury label with the data. Experiments on 3,743 elite women’s football sessions show that cumulative and dynamic logistic regression models achieve ROC‑AUCs between 0.367 and 0.607, though results carry wide uncertainty.
arXiv:2609.07617v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: With the rise of live sports betting in recent years, tennis forecasting has expanded from pre-match prediction to models that update win probabilities...
The paper introduces PART, a multimodal predictive framework for tennis that combines physiological, training, sleep, questionnaire, jump, and video data from nine collegiate players to assess overall wellness, injury risk, physical capability, and playing style. Using machine learning and deep learning, PART provides holistic athlete assessments and forecasts specific injury risks to body areas such as elbows and knees. Evaluation shows strong performance in predicting wellness and injury risk, with potential benefits for recreational players who often injure themselves due to poor technique.
arXiv:2607. 14616v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vision--language models have become increasingly capable of interpreting visual scenes, but it remains unclear whether they can use information to make strategically effective decisions.
arXiv:2609.23450v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate cue-ball identification is essential for metric analysis of broadcast snooker. Existing systems evaluate each candidate independently against...