The paper investigates how different velocity regimes affect broadcast‑viewport basketball analytics. Using a calibrated off‑screen imputation protocol, it compares four velocity settings—none, viewport‑legal observed, true‑for‑visible, and true‑for‑all—against a velocity‑aware ground truth across three analytical layers. Results show that velocity is largely useless for imputation, modestly useful for the control surface, and minimally useful for final team verdicts, with the visible channel providing the most benefit.
By Seongjin Choi
arXiv:2608. 09887v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ball possession is the most-cited and most-misleading number in football: 60% recycled in one's own half is not 60% spent pinning the opponent back.
By Seongjin Choi
arXiv:2607. 14616v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vision--language models have become increasingly capable of interpreting visual scenes, but it remains unclear whether they can use information to make strategically effective decisions.
By Jasin Cekinmez, Addison J. Wu, Haotian Xia, Akshaya Bharadhwaj, Anay Putty, Anirudh Ravishankar, Jaewoong Lee, Jinglin Xiao, Kyumin Andrew Shim, Mishika Ahuja, Nisarga Patil, Leo Liu, Zhuohan Liu, Weining Shen
arXiv:2608. 19723v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Streaming video understanding requires models to causally update state as video arrives and organize growing history into semantic units that can evolve, persist, and be recalled under bounded computation and memory.
By Chenxi Shao, Bozhong Wang, Jiaxin Huang, Zhao Liu, Sunwei Zhu, Tianxin Hang, Gaoqi He, Yang Li, Changbo Wang
arXiv:2608. 05030v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Football score forecasting combines a strong statistical core with a difficult contextual edge.
By Shaopeng Liang
The paper presents a validated protocol for adapting drone‑based crowd‑counting models to the extreme conditions expected at the 2034 FIFA World Cup in Saudi Arabia. Using 525 controlled runs and a full‑resolution corpus, the authors demonstrate that label‑free adaptation can recover 31‑49% of shift‑induced error across multiple corruptions and severities, achieving a 41.8 MAE improvement over a frozen source model. They also introduce a severity law, a stability budget, and a flux‑based risk module that detects real congestion episodes, culminating in a six‑point deployment protocol for safe aerial crowd monitoring.
By AlAnoud AllGhayth, AlJawharh AlOtaibi, Jude AlSubaie
Video understanding is usually benchmarked on curated, single-actor, or professionally filmed clips, and a strong score there is routinely read as evidence a model is robust enough for deployment. Ama...
arXiv:2609.28049v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Video understanding is usually benchmarked on curated, single-actor, or professionally filmed clips, and a strong score there is routinely read as ev...
By Sai Varun Kodathala, Prashanth Pollishetty, Jaylen Cargill
The paper introduces Graph-to-Grid (G2G), a method that paints continuous‑coordinate player features onto a grid using bilinear interpolation, enabling end‑to‑end training of per‑player encoders for pass surface prediction. On 53,628 World Cup passes, this painting approach improves selection likelihood by about a quarter of a nat compared to raster‑only inputs, with further gains from learned encoders and message passing. The study also shows that painting benefits existing models like SoccerMap and U‑Net, while other variants such as offset channels or raster‑free decoders do not provide similar improvements.
By Kaan G\"unay, Orhun Gun
arXiv:2607. 26061v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pre-match tactical decision-making in professional football relies heavily on subjective expert analysis and identity-based scouting systems that cannot generalize to unseen teams.
By Mouad Zemzoumi, Amine Abouaomar
Football score forecasting combines a strong statistical core with a difficult contextual edge. Dynamic Poisson-family models estimate team strength, expected goals, and coherent score probabilities, but do not directly understand roles, tactical matchups, motivation, or how a first goal changes behaviour.
arXiv:2608. 14982v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformers applied to spatial imperfect-information games must represent map geometry while tracking hidden entities through time.
By Wenji Fu