arXiv Machine Learning By Evangelos Chatzidimitriou, Konstantinos Tserpes

When Minute-Resolution Monitoring Meets Session-Level Injury Labels: Landmark-Based Discrimination in Elite Women's Football

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The study introduces a framework that reconciles minute‑resolution athlete monitoring data with injury labels that are only available at the session level. By creating fixed‑time landmarks (10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 minutes) and generating a single representation per athlete‑session up to each landmark, the authors evaluate several machine‑learning models and data‑augmentation strategies on elite women’s football data. Results show that discrimination varies across landmarks, with TabPFN outperforming Logistic Regression at later landmarks but not consistently beating Random Forest, and that synthetic augmentation offers benefits only in specific conditions.

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