arXiv Machine Learning

CoGenCast: A Coupled Autoregressive-Flow Generative Framework for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2602. 03564v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics.

arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv AI
Sep 25

TimeBraid: Unifying Time Series and Language for Understanding and Forecasting

TimeBraid is a family of unified models that combine pretrained language models with pretrained time‑series foundation models using interleaved global residual attention layers. The models inherit instruction following, reasoning, and continuous‑signal perception, fusing both modalities into a shared representation space for understanding and generation. The design focuses on aligning representation spaces, grounding language in temporal structure, balancing understanding with generation, and maintaining stable joint optimization, supported by 2.2 M curated series‑text pairs and 4.9 M instruction‑tuning samples. Across diverse benchmarks, TimeBraid competes with larger general‑purpose and task‑specific models.

By Xinyue Wang, Jiacheng Pang, Kun Zhou, Kexin Zhang, Defu Cao, Fan Feng, Faisal, Songyao Jin, Yan Liu, Biwei Huang
arXiv AI
Aug 25

NeST: Neighborhood-aware semantic alignment and temporal modulation for LLM based time series forecasting

NeST is a framework that adapts large language models (LLMs) for continuous time‑series forecasting by creating neighborhood‑aware text prototypes and aligning them with temporal representations through a nearest‑neighbor contrastive objective. It retrieves the most relevant prototypes and uses them to conditionally modulate time‑series features, enabling more effective integration of textual and temporal information. Experiments show that NeST outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods on eight benchmarks, reduces MSE by 1.2% for long‑term forecasting, improves zero‑shot forecasting by 4.9%, and boosts R² by 3.3% on a real‑world photovoltaic power forecasting task.

By Jayanie Bogahawatte, Sachith Seneviratne, Maneesha Perera, Saman Halgamuge
arXiv Machine Learning
2d ago

OpenTSLM TeeMoE: A Unified Time-Series Language Model for Forecasting, Contextual Prediction, and Reasoning

arXiv:2609.40265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series applications increasingly require models that can handle time series forecasting, context-conditioned prediction, and language-b...

By Tony Chen, Timo Stoffregen, Maxwell Xu, Thomas Kaar, Martin Maritsch, Geremia Pompei, Nicolas Zumarraga, Robert Jakob, Paul Schmiedmayer, Patrick Langer, Juncheng Liu
arXiv AI
2d ago

ProtoFlow: Prototype-Guided Flow Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

ProtoFlow is a new multivariate time series forecasting framework that combines vector‑quantized autoencoding with prototype‑guided flow matching. It maps sequences into a discrete latent space, constructs a structured prior from the learned VQ codebook, and trains a DiT‑based rectified flow to transport samples from this prior to future latent representations conditioned on past observations. By replacing generic Gaussian noise with a learned prototype prior, ProtoFlow eliminates autoregressive rollout mismatch and achieves faster training convergence while delivering superior forecasting performance on benchmark datasets.

By Shibo Feng, Wanjin Feng, Yang Qiu, Deheng Ye, Peilin Zhao, Chunyan Miao
arXiv AI
Jun 18

From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization

arXiv:2508. 09191v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Shilong Zhang, Mingyue Cheng, Daoyu Wang, Tingyue Pan, Bokai Pan, Changqing Zhang, Shijin Wang
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 6

TS-RAG: Retrieval Augmented Generation for Time Series Forecasting

While deep learning models, particularly transformer-based architectures, have shown impressive performance in time series forecasting, the application of retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) in this domain remains limited. Since RAG has proven effective in enhancing the capabilities of large language models by incorporating relevant external information, retrieving similar time series sequences as references might also improve accuracy in time series forecasting tasks.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

ChronoSteer: Bridging Large Language Model and Time Series Foundation Model via Synthetic Cross-Modal Alignment Dataset

ChronoSteer is a decoupled agentic framework that bridges large language models and time series foundation models by learning cross‑modal alignment from synthetic paired supervision. It converts textual events into revision instructions that steer a frozen time‑series model, discretizes these instructions into a compact codebook to reduce semantic divergence, and then refines the predictions with a two‑stage training strategy. The authors also release a leakage‑controlled multimodal benchmark and report a 25.8% improvement in zero‑shot prediction accuracy over the unimodal backbone.

By Chengsen Wang, Qi Qi, Zhongwen Rao, Lujia Pan, Jingyu Wang