The paper introduces Temporal Kolmogorov‑Arnold Networks (T‑KAN) for forecasting high‑frequency limit order book data, replacing fixed linear weights in LSTMs with learnable B‑spline activation functions. This approach captures the shape of market signals, yielding a 19.1% relative improvement in F1‑score at a 100‑step horizon and a 132.48% return versus a -82.76% drawdown for DeepLOB under 1.0 bps transaction costs. T‑KAN also offers interpretability through visible dead‑zones in the splines and is optimized for low‑latency FPGA deployment via High‑Level Synthesis.
By Ahmad Makinde
VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
The paper presents a reproducible study of multi‑horizon forecasting on the Lomnicky Stit neutron monitor (LMKS) time series. It evaluates a range of models—from simple seasonal baselines to modern deep sequence models and quantum‑inspired architectures such as QiLSTM and QiKAN—using MAE and RMSE metrics. Results show that the quantum‑inspired KAN variant (QiKAN) achieves the lowest aggregate error, while the simple Seasonal Naive baseline remains highly competitive, indicating that strong seasonal or low‑dimensional functional priors can rival more complex models for highly periodic scientific data.
By Krishna Bhatia, Shalini Devendrababu, Srinjoy Ganguly
DualCast is a dual‑path language model that forecasts financial time‑series by combining a fast numerical forecaster with an optional text‑conditioned revision mechanism. The fast path trains only new financial‑token embeddings and output heads on a frozen Qwen3‑8B backbone, while the slow path uses a LoRA adapter to incorporate news and refine predictions. In zero‑shot tests across equities and energy prices at multiple time resolutions, the slow path achieves the lowest mean absolute percentage error in most settings, especially for longer horizons, and news ablations show additional gains in many markets.
By Wentao Zhao, Hongqiang Wu, Shanghang Liu, Zhaochen Zan, Yu Zhang, Biqing Huang
EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance) is a financial time‑series foundation model designed to overcome the limitations of existing models that rely on self‑attention and assume fully observed data. It replaces self‑attention with a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and a group‑aware pooling MLP for variate mixing, achieving linear‑time complexity. The model is pretrained on a large, diverse financial corpus and, through masked context augmentation, learns to handle missing data, ultimately topping the FinVerse benchmark across accuracy, ranking, and profitability metrics.
By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...
By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv:2607. 00197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon multivariate time series forecasting (LTSF) remains challenging due to non-stationarity, regime shifts, and error accumulation.
By Haroon Gharwi, Yue Dai, Kai Shu
arXiv:2607. 24892v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Text-conditioned time-series forecasting predicts a series from both its numerical history and natural-language context, allowing forecasts to account for events and constraints that the past alone cannot reveal.
By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dai Do, Hung Le
arXiv:2601. 16632v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning.
By Haonan Yang, Jianchao Tang, Zhuo Li
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang