arXiv AI

KAN vs LSTM Performance in Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2511. 18613v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study presents a controlled comparison of baseline Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), implemented via PyKAN, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for the forecasting of stochastic, non-stationary financial time series.

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 13

Forking-Sequences: Statistically and Computationally Efficient Multi-Horizon Forecasting with Reduced Volatility

arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).

By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares

llms benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 11

CaReTS: A Multi-Task Framework Unifying Classification and Regression for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.

By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han

llms benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jul 2

StateFlow: Dual-State Recurrent Modeling for Long-Horizon Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 00197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon multivariate time series forecasting (LTSF) remains challenging due to non-stationarity, regime shifts, and error accumulation.

By Haroon Gharwi, Yue Dai, Kai Shu

llms benchmarks

arXiv AI

Jul 29

LLM as Forecasting Planner: Training-Free Text Conditioning for Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2607. 24892v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Text-conditioned time-series forecasting predicts a series from both its numerical history and natural-language context, allowing forecasts to account for events and constraints that the past alone cannot reveal.

By Huu Hiep Nguyen, Dung Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen, Dai Do, Hung Le

llms

arXiv AI

Jun 26

Dual-Prototype Disentanglement: A Context-Aware Enhancement Framework for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2601. 16632v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning.

By Haonan Yang, Jianchao Tang, Zhuo Li

benchmarks

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 3

FinStressTS: A Parametric Synthetic Benchmark for Time-Series Forecasting in Finance

arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.

By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang

llms multimodal benchmarks safety

arXiv AI

1d ago

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu

llms benchmarks safety

arXiv Machine Learning

Jun 10

One Step Closer to Ground Truth: A Multi-Scale Residual-Aware Representation Learning Pipeline for Predicting Time Series Data

arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.

By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman

llms benchmarks safety

arXiv AI

Jun 30

Adaptive Financial Transformer with Regime-Gated Attention for Stock Return Prediction

arXiv:2606. 29347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive Financial Transformer (AFT) is proposed for stock return prediction under non-stationary financial markets.

By Dishan Sarkar

llms benchmarks safety

arXiv AI

Jun 18

From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization

arXiv:2508. 09191v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting plays a vital role in supporting decision-making across a wide range of critical applications, including energy, healthcare, and finance.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Shilong Zhang, Mingyue Cheng, Daoyu Wang, Tingyue Pan, Bokai Pan, Changqing Zhang, Shijin Wang

llms nlp fine-tuning safety

arXiv Machine Learning

1d ago

From Recoverability to Functional Use: Auditing Temporal Reports in Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 10433v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-series forecasters increasingly accompany numerical predictions with explicit temporal reports, such as delays or selected history, but a correct report need not describe the information actually used by the forecast.

By Qipeng Qian, Yuntao Qian

safety

Hugging Face Trending Papers

Jul 27

LLM as Forecasting Planner: Training-Free Text Conditioning for Time-Series Foundation Models

Text-conditioned time-series forecasting predicts a series from both its numerical history and natural-language context, allowing forecasts to account for events and constraints that the past alone cannot reveal. This requires both reliable numerical forecasting and the ability to interpret contextual information.

llms

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