arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
arXiv:2607. 09537v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting requires models to capture diverse, often mutually exclusive, temporal dynamics, from smooth trend continuation to nonstationary drift and strict phase-aligned recurrence.
By Qitai Tan, Ruiwen Gu, Yilin Su, Mo Li, Xu Lin, Xiao-Ping Zhang
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2605. 05540v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Fast surrogate modeling for high-dimensional physical dynamics requires more than low short-term error: useful models must roll out efficiently while preserving the statistical structure of long trajectories.
By Tianyue Yang, Xiao Xue
arXiv:2607. 08234v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world time series exhibit complex dynamics characterized by multiple simultaneous temporal patterns: short-term fluctuations, periodic seasonal cycles, long-term trends, and irregular abrupt changes.
By Sumit Satishrao Shevtekar, Chandresh Kumar Maurya
arXiv:2509. 24122v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences?
By Hongbo Liu, Jia Xu
arXiv:2608. 07420v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: World models are expected to support imagination over extended temporal horizons, yet most are still trained through local few-step prediction objectives and deployed by recursively rolling out their own predictions.
By Xinyi Li, Zaishuo Xia, Chenjie Hao, Yubei Chen
arXiv:2606. 24969v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While the quadratic sequence-length bottleneck of transformers has fueled a resurgence in recurrent models, effectively capturing complex dynamics requires architectures that balance efficient training with highly expressive latent states.
By Klaus Schertler, Xiomara Runge, Andrea Ceni, David Kappel, Claudio Gallicchio
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2508. 05287v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, lack adaptability to different sampling rates, struggle with generalization across varying context and target lengths, and are computationally inefficient.
By Lars Graf, Thomas Ortner, Stanis{\l}aw Wo\'zniak, Angeliki Pantazi
arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.
By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic
arXiv:2604. 01577v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study out of distribution generalization in streaming tasks where models are trained on short sequences but must operate over much longer, unknown horizons under bounded memory.
By Shota Takashiro, Masanori Koyama, Takeru Miyato, Yusuke Iwasawa, Yutaka Matsuo, Kohei Hayashi