arXiv Machine Learning By Tianpeng Li, Xuan Guo, Wenjun Wang, Wang Zhang, Pengfei Jiao

When Can You Correct Distribution Drift in Temporal Graph Generation? A Sharpening--Drift Tension and an Impossibility for Observation-Based Correction

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2607. 24662v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative models of temporal graphs are trained on one stretch of an evolving network and deployed on the next, and they degrade badly in the gap.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

The Impossible Trinity of Time-Series Validation: A Conservation Law among Training Sufficiency, Test Coverage, and Temporal Causality

The paper proves that in time‑series validation three desirable properties—training sufficiency, test coverage, and temporal causality—cannot all be satisfied simultaneously. It introduces quantitative bounds involving the smallest training fraction (α), test coverage (β), future training fraction (Λ), and distance to nearest future training point (δ), showing that exceeding the causal frontier α+β=1 requires training on future data that must lie within (1−α)T of a test point. The authors demonstrate that the impact of such future leakage depends on distance rather than amount, and compare different validation schemes (walk‑forward, k‑fold, purged k‑fold) in terms of their position on this Pareto frontier, illustrating the trade‑offs with empirical results on noise data.

By Jiayu Li
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 5

Asymptotic-Preserving A Posteriori Analysis of Diffusion and Flow-Matching Samplers

Diffusion and flow-matching samplers integrate a learned probability-flow ODE from a large noise scale down to a small terminal floor $σ_{\min}$, at which the score is stiff and the flow develops a boundary layer. We treat $σ_{\min}$ as a singular-perturbation parameter and determine which fixed-step samplers are asymptotic-preserving (AP), that is, stable and uniformly accurate as $σ_{\min}\to0$, casting the criteria as an a posteriori audit: residual functionals with $σ_{\min}$-uniform coefficients, computable on a pretrained checkpoint without ground-truth scores or exact trajectories.