arXiv Machine Learning

Robust Causal Discovery in Real-World Time Series with Power-Laws

arXiv:2507. 12257v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Exploring causal relationships in stochastic time series is a challenging yet crucial task with a vast range of applications, including finance, economics, neuroscience, and climate science.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Causal Discovery on Irregular Time Series

arXiv:2607. 18226v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery methods have shown strong performance in temporal systems, but they typically rely on regular and discrete lag structures, limiting their applicability to regularly sampled data.

By Martim Penim, Ricardo Ribeiro Pereira, Jacopo Bono, Hugo Ferreira, M\'ario A. T. Figueiredo, Pedro Bizarro
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 20

Causal Discovery on Irregular Time Series

Causal discovery methods have shown strong performance in temporal systems, but they typically rely on regular and discrete lag structures, limiting their applicability to regularly sampled data. However, many real-world tasks require dealing with irregularly sampled streams of events, such as sensor streams, healthcare data, and financial transactions.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 27

Causal-TS: A Python Library for Causal Discovery in High-Dimensional and Nonstationary Time Series

We describe Causal-TS, an open-source Python library for causal discovery in high-dimensional and nonstationary multivariate time series. Causal-TS provides four specialized algorithms-CDNOTS, CDNOTS+, CEDAR, and GRACE-along with wrappers for GES, Granger, LASSO-VAR, and LGES, all sharing a unified conditional independence (CI) test layer with GPU acceleration via PyTorch.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series

arXiv:2603. 20980v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable.

By Dmitry Zaytsev, Valentina Kuskova, Michael Coppedge
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Granger Causality in Extremes

arXiv:2407. 09632v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce a rigorous mathematical framework for Granger causality in extremes, designed to identify causal links from extreme events in time series.

By Juraj Bodik, Olivier C. Pasche
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Large Causal Models for Temporal Causal Discovery

arXiv:2602. 18662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset.

By Nikolaos Kougioulis, Nikolaos Gkorgkolis, MingXue Wang, Bora Caglayan, Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Ioannis Tsamardinos