arXiv:2607. 18226v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery methods have shown strong performance in temporal systems, but they typically rely on regular and discrete lag structures, limiting their applicability to regularly sampled data.
By Martim Penim, Ricardo Ribeiro Pereira, Jacopo Bono, Hugo Ferreira, M\'ario A. T. Figueiredo, Pedro Bizarro
The paper presents RCBNB-MB, a causal discovery algorithm that relaxes the assumption of a single, time‑consistent causal structure in time series. It identifies latent causal regimes—subsets of time points where a stable causal graph holds—and iteratively segments the series to recover both regime transitions and the corresponding causal graphs using Markov blankets. The authors provide theoretical guarantees and demonstrate through simulations and real IT monitoring data that RCBNB-MB outperforms baseline methods in detecting regime changes and their causal structures.
By Lei Zan, Charles K. Assaad, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier
arXiv:2507. 12257v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Exploring causal relationships in stochastic time series is a challenging yet crucial task with a vast range of applications, including finance, economics, neuroscience, and climate science.
By Matteo Tusoni, Giuseppe Masi, Andrea Coletta, Aldo Glielmo, Viviana Arrigoni, Novella Bartolini
The paper introduces TS‑BOSS, a time‑series extension of the Best Order Score Search (BOSS) algorithm for causal structure learning. TS‑BOSS conducts a permutation‑based search over dynamic Bayesian network structures, using grow‑shrink trees to cache intermediate score computations, thereby maintaining scalability and strong empirical performance. The authors provide theoretical guarantees of soundness under suitable assumptions and demonstrate that TS‑BOSS achieves higher adjacency recall than standard constraint‑based methods, especially in high auto‑correlation regimes.
By Irene Gema Castillo Mansilla, Urmi Ninad
arXiv:2609.23516v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Structural causal models for time series recover contemporaneous and lagged effects, but most methods require complete observation windows and become m...
By Wenbo Xu, Yue He, Yunhai Wang, Yueguo Chen, Kun Kuang
arXiv:2609.39406v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Causal AI is a branch of Artificial Intelligence which helps understand and reason about cause and effect relationships, not just patterns or correlati...
By Nishchal Prasad, Eric Gaussier, Emilie Devijver, Alexander Obeid Guzman, Armen Aghasaryan, Gregor G\"ossler