arXiv Machine Learning

TimeSAE: Causal Sparse Decoding for Faithful Explanations of Black-Box Time Series Models

arXiv:2601. 09776v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are essential.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

NVExplain: Explaining Time Series Forecasting with Latent Trajectory Analysis and Structure-Preserving Surrogates

NVExplain is a model‑agnostic framework that explains time‑series forecasting by attributing each forecast horizon to temporally relevant historical lags. It models forecasting as a latent trajectory, introduces semantic flow to track information evolution, and aggregates this into a lag‑horizon attribution matrix. The method also generates structure‑preserving perturbations and fits sparse local surrogates to produce human‑readable, temporally coherent explanations, and demonstrates competitive faithfulness and stability across benchmark datasets.

By Muyan Anna Li, Manikandan Ravikiran, Aditi Gautam
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Learnable Time-Frequency Masks for Explaining Time-Series Classifiers

The paper introduces XACT, a framework that learns sparse attribution masks over coefficients from any invertible time‑frequency transform, such as STFT, continuous wavelet transform, and discrete wavelet transform. XACT extends the virtual inspection layer approach to wavelet transforms, enabling Layer‑wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) to generate explanations in these representations. Experiments on synthetic and two real‑world datasets show that XACT produces precise, sparse, and structured explanations, often outperforming baseline methods in highlighting relevant features.

By Theresa Dahl Frehr, Francisco Pelayo, Lukas Raad, Alicia Garc\'ia Sanz, Thea Br\"usch, Tommy Sonne Alstr{\o}m