arXiv Machine Learning

Keep Your Friends Close, and the Right Neighbours Closer: Disaster-Conditioned Kernel-Regularized Graph Attention for Building Damage Classification

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 12

Shortcut Learning in Geospatial Foundation Model Embeddings for Cross-Disaster Damage Assessment

The study investigates shortcut learning in geospatial foundation model embeddings for cross-disaster damage assessment. By holding out entire disasters during evaluation, the authors demonstrate a significant drop in mean balanced accuracy across multiple datasets, revealing that models rely on event or scene characteristics rather than transferable evidence. They further show that simple feature-level transformations, such as supervised contrastive learning or PCA, can improve generalization to unseen disasters.

By Ali Shibli, Andrea Nascetti, Yifang Ban
arXiv Computer Vision
Oct 12

Revisiting the Task of Building Damage Assessment by Satellite Imaging

The paper revisits building damage assessment (BDA) from satellite imagery, emphasizing the need for a sensor‑agnostic, instance‑based task definition that can handle missing pre‑event data. It reviews existing datasets by modality, timing, and geography, critiques current single‑score evaluation practices, and proposes a more robust, ranking‑based multi‑score protocol. The authors also survey deep learning methods, highlight challenges in generalizing to new events and regions, and outline how these insights could shape future BDA challenges and data‑sharing practices.

By Anthony Cioppa, Virgile Blua, S\'ebastien Pi\'erard, Pietro Ceccato, Marc Van Droogenbroeck
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

DELUGE: Towards Continental-Scale Daily Pluvial Flood Damage Prediction via Interpretable Conditioning on Foundation Model Embeddings

arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.

By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

A multi-view contrastive learning framework for spatial embeddings in risk modelling

The paper introduces a multi‑view contrastive learning framework that creates low‑dimensional spatial embeddings by combining satellite imagery and OpenStreetMap data across Europe. These embeddings align with coordinate‑based encodings, allowing any dataset with latitude‑longitude pairs to be enriched with meaningful spatial features without needing the original spatial inputs. In case studies on French real‑estate prices and Belgian flood claim counts, models using the embeddings outperform those using raw coordinates, improving predictive accuracy and territorial risk classification while offering explainable spatial effects.

By Freek Holvoet, Christopher Blier-Wong, Katrien Antonio
arXiv AI
Jul 28

Advancing All-Weather Building Damage Mapping to the Instance Level: Outcomes and Insights from the 2026 Bright Challenge

arXiv:2607. 22746v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Rapid post-disaster response requires timely, building-level information on whether structures remain intact, are damaged, or are destroyed.

By Hongruixuan Chen, He Huang, Haifeng Wang, Jian Song, Junjue Wang, Weihao Xuan, Hamish Mitchell, Jiepan Li, Wei He, Liangpei Zhang, Zijie Wang, Chen Zhong, Jiazhen Zhao, Lei Hu, Ting Hu, Hongyan Zhang, Gregory Angelides, Miriam Cha, Clifford Broni-Bediako, Junshi Xia, Taylor Perron, Naoto Yokoya
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Post-Wildfire Debris-Flow Prediction

arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.

By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 29

DeepC4: Deep Conditional Census-Constrained Clustering for Large-scale Multitask Spatial Disaggregation of Urban Morphology

DeepC4 is a deep learning-based spatial disaggregation method that uses local census statistics as cluster-level constraints and incorporates multiple conditional label relationships in a multitask learning framework. Applied to Rwandan urban morphology, it achieves macro‑F1 scores of 0.63, 0.78, and 0.45 for roof, wall, and height prediction, respectively, and estimates national dwelling and occupant counts within about 1.1% error compared to census records. The approach outperforms existing GEM and METEOR methods and covers 32‑49% more 500‑meter grid pixels across provinces.

By Joshua Dimasaka, Christian Gei{\ss}, Emily So