arXiv AI

Comparing Socially-Equitable Renewable Energy Budget Allocation MDP Policies in Mature and Emerging Economies

arXiv:2607. 10201v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Equitable renewable-energy planning is a sequential decision problem, but the decision variables available to a public planner differ sharply between mature and emerging economies.

arXiv AI
Jun 26

Power Couple? AI Growth and Renewable Energy Investment

arXiv:2603. 26678v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: AI and renewable energy are increasingly framed as a "power couple," on the premise that surging AI demand will accelerate clean-energy investment, yet concerns persist that AI will entrench fossil-fuel carbon lock-in.

By Luyi Gui, Tinglong Dai
arXiv AI
Sep 7

Reinforcement Learning for Sequential Solar PV Policy Design under Uncertainty: An Agent-Based Approach

The paper presents a reinforcement learning framework for designing solar PV adoption policies under uncertainty, integrating RL with a stochastic agent‑based model to simulate yearly adoption over a 16‑year horizon. Policymakers can choose annual incentives such as grants, subsidised loans, and feed‑in tariffs, and the study evaluates three RL algorithms—PPO, SAC, and TD3—within a scalarised reward framework that balances adoption gains against costs. Results show clear trade‑off patterns, with TD3 yielding the highest adoption at higher cost, PPO achieving the lowest cost with fewer adopters, and a balanced PPO policy offering a middle ground, all outperforming static baseline policies.

By Iias Faiud, Jonaid Shianifar, Michael Schukat, Karl Mason
arXiv AI
Jun 3

Margin Play: A Multi-Agent System For Public Policy Analysis In The Brazilian Equatorial Margin

arXiv:2606. 02614v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The Brazilian Equatorial Margin (BEM) is Brazil's next offshore oil frontier, with operations expected to begin in 2026 in the Foz do Amazonas basin.

By Antonio de Sousa Leit\~ao Filho, Fabr\'icio Saul Lima, Selby Mykael Lima dos Santos, Rejani Bandeira Vieira Sousa, Lu\'is Jorge Mesquita de Jesus, Dennys Correia da Silva, Allan Kardec Duailibe Barros Filho
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Learning Principal-Agent Contracts for Equitable Smallholder Carbon Farming under Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection

The paper investigates how a single pooled contract offered by an aggregator to heterogeneous smallholder farmers can be designed to maximize profit while addressing private adoption costs and unobserved effort over multiple seasons. Using a POMDP framework and reinforcement learning, the authors find that profit‑maximizing contracts disproportionately favor large farms, achieving 87.7% of possible adoption on large farms versus only 8.2% on smallholdings, largely due to higher measurement, reporting, and verification costs on smaller plots. The study suggests that adjusting MRV cost structures could reduce this disparity and help scale carbon farming to smallholders.

By Rishi Bharadwaj, Yadati Narahari
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 3

Grounded, Compute-Efficient LLM Policy Agents for Energy-Poverty Equity in Physically-Constrained Peer-to-Peer Energy Markets

The paper introduces EqGrid, a closed‑loop simulation that uses a low‑frequency, open‑weight LLM policy agent to set price, carbon limits, and subsidies for a community of empirically‑grounded household personas, while high‑frequency multi‑agent RL traders clear a continuous double auction on a physically constrained IEEE‑33‑bus grid. It demonstrates that the LLM can reduce energy‑poverty inequality—lowering the Gini of energy burden from 0.351 to 0.305 and mean burden by 28%—without increasing net grid cost, and that a compressed sub‑1B model retains 92–95% of this benefit at dramatically lower inference energy. The study also establishes a compute‑efficiency frontier and a decoupled‑safety design that eliminates grid violations. whyItMatters":"By showing that a lightweight LLM can effectively manage energy markets to reduce poverty and inequality while staying energy‑efficient, the work offers a practical, low‑carbon AI solution for humanitarian energy‑poverty interventions."

By Kunal Jadhav, Siddhesh More
arXiv AI
Aug 14

EU-ETS under attack? The impact of carbon price suppression on the decarbonization of the power sector

arXiv:2608. 12363v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: European countries are debating policies to mitigate the increased energy costs caused by renewed geopolitical tensions, while pursuing decarbonization and electrification.

By Javier Gonzalez-Ruiz, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Alice Di Bella, Paolo Mastropietro, Jose Pablo Chavez-Avila, Massimo Tavoni
arXiv AI
Sep 10

AI for AI: Optimizing Additional Infrastructure Build-out to Power Artificial Intelligence Data Centers

The paper presents a framework that links data‑center electricity demand growth, available generation capacity, and market‑clearing prices to explain rising electricity costs. It first uses a deterministic model to show how varying demand and supply growth estimates influence prices, then extends to stochastic processes that generate probabilistic distributions for supply, demand, and prices. Finally, it formulates generation expansion as a stochastic control problem, illustrating how uncertainties in load forecasts, development risks, and potential overbuilding can dampen investment incentives needed to stabilize prices.

By Alexander Crosier, Kyle Onghai, Ronnie Sircar