arXiv AI

EU-ETS under attack? The impact of carbon price suppression on the decarbonization of the power sector

arXiv:2608. 12363v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: European countries are debating policies to mitigate the increased energy costs caused by renewed geopolitical tensions, while pursuing decarbonization and electrification.

arXiv AI
Jun 26

Power Couple? AI Growth and Renewable Energy Investment

arXiv:2603. 26678v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: AI and renewable energy are increasingly framed as a "power couple," on the premise that surging AI demand will accelerate clean-energy investment, yet concerns persist that AI will entrench fossil-fuel carbon lock-in.

By Luyi Gui, Tinglong Dai
arXiv AI
Aug 20

Europe's Climate Ambition Under Scrutiny: Evidence from Deep Learning Emission Projections

The study uses deep learning on high‑resolution socioeconomic and sectoral data to project EU27 CO₂ emissions through 2023 and beyond. It finds that, under current trends, EU emissions will exceed the 2030 target by 35 % (620 Mt CO₂ shortfall), with only a few countries on track. While the power sector is on target thanks to renewables, mobility contributes over a third of emissions and shows little progress, indicating structural inertia across member states.

By Jacopo Ghirri, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Lara Aleluia Reis, Massimo Tavoni
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

Europe's Climate Ambition Under Scrutiny: Evidence from Deep Learning Emission Projections

The paper uses deep learning on high‑resolution socioeconomic and sectoral data to project EU27 CO₂ emissions through 2030. It finds that emissions will exceed the EU’s 55% reduction target by 35% (620 Mt CO₂ shortfall), with only a few countries on track. While the power sector is on target thanks to renewables, mobility remains a major source of emissions, indicating structural inertia across member states.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Understanding electricity consumption behaviour through Inverse Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2607. 03176v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Understanding how households consume electricity in response to socioeconomic and climatic drivers is important for decision-makers designing energy policies in a changing climate and under geopolitical tensions.

By Enrico Cofler, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Matteo Giuliani, Andrea Castelletti, Massimo Tavoni
arXiv AI
Sep 10

AI for AI: Optimizing Additional Infrastructure Build-out to Power Artificial Intelligence Data Centers

The paper presents a framework that links data‑center electricity demand growth, available generation capacity, and market‑clearing prices to explain rising electricity costs. It first uses a deterministic model to show how varying demand and supply growth estimates influence prices, then extends to stochastic processes that generate probabilistic distributions for supply, demand, and prices. Finally, it formulates generation expansion as a stochastic control problem, illustrating how uncertainties in load forecasts, development risks, and potential overbuilding can dampen investment incentives needed to stabilize prices.

By Alexander Crosier, Kyle Onghai, Ronnie Sircar
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3

Toward Explainable and Policy-Aware AI for Carbon Credit Price Prediction: A Research Framework for Emerging Carbon Markets

The paper proposes EPA-CarbonNet, a six‑layer model that fuses carbon market price series with policy text via cross‑attention and calibrated intervals, aiming to provide explainable, policy‑aware predictions for carbon credit prices. It evaluates the approach on eleven years of daily S&P carbon index data, finding that a simple random walk outperforms the model on five‑day RMSE, while the model achieves the best directional accuracy at 58.6%. The study identifies ten recurring gaps in current research and releases all code, data, and results publicly.

By Summaiya Unnisa Begum, Mohammed Nadeem Ullah, Mohammed Abdul Ghani Khan