arXiv AI

Patient-specific rubric-based evaluation of large language models across longitudinal cancer care

The study introduces NPC‑RubricBench, a phase‑aware benchmark that evaluates large language models (LLMs) on multistage clinical reasoning throughout the nasopharyngeal carcinoma care continuum. Using longitudinal data from 405 patients, the benchmark contains 941 patient‑phase units and 17,688 patient‑specific criteria across five dimensions, focusing strictly on decision‑time evidence. Evaluation of 30 general‑purpose and medical LLMs shows that strong diagnostic accuracy does not translate into better downstream care, with failure modes shifting from explicit decision errors in staging to decision omissions in initial work‑up and follow‑up, and reveals a trade‑off between prompt granularity, decision quality, evidence faithfulness, and safety adherence.

arXiv AI
Jul 10

Towards Precision Therapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Clinical-Reasoning LLM for Risk Stratification and Treatment Guidance

arXiv:2607. 08602v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy and a leading cause of cancer-related mortality.

By Peng Cui, Jitao Wang, Siyan Xue, Yao Huang, Haoming Xia, Dong Li, Dengxiang Liu, Weilin Wang, Liping Liu, Leida Zhang, Yunfu Cui, Tao Peng, Daolin Ji, Haitao Zhao, Wei Zhang, Xiaojuan Wang, Weijie Ma, Zongren Ding, Jinlong Li, Yuan Ding, Jiajing Zhao, Zhiyu Chen, Chengkun Yang, Ziyue Huang, Jiaqi Liu, Fusheng Liu, Yang Zhou, Xiaojuan Wang, Zhongquan Sun, Shiyun Bao, Xiaojun Wang, Ming Yang, Guangxin Li, Bin Shu, Yong Liao, Hongxuan Li, Yao Tang, Shizhong Yang, Yongyi Zeng, Yufeng Yuan, Yinpeng Dong, Jihui Hao, Jun Zhu, Jiahong Dong
arXiv AI
Oct 16

AI Consilium: a Benchmark of LLM Clinical Multidisciplinary Second Opinions

The paper introduces AI Consilium, a benchmark for evaluating large language models (LLMs) on providing clinically grounded, coherent, actionable, and safe second opinions in multidisciplinary settings. Using 300 NEJM–MedQA cases, the study compares eight single-model pipelines that generate role-specific opinions and interactive-consilium reports under free-form and structured conditions. Results show that structured final reports generally score higher, especially in management, and that GPT‑5.6‑Sol outperforms other models across all evaluated components, demonstrating the benchmark’s ability to differentiate model capabilities and the impact of response structure.

By Alexey A. Bokov, Ivan I. Panin, Nikolay B. Nechaev, Mikhail Yu. Valkov, Valeria Yu. Chernina, Natalia Gombolevskaya, Ayyaz Hussain, Vladimir M. Agafonov, Victor A. Gombolevskiy, Aleksandr V. Nesterov, Iaroslav R. Bespalov, Ivan V. Oseledets, Dmitry V. Dylov
arXiv AI
Jul 14

Information-seeking failures of large language models in agentic clinical reasoning

arXiv:2607. 10275v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models achieve high scores on medical knowledge assessments, yet clinical reasoning requires actively deciding what to investigate under uncertainty.

By Krischan Braitsch, Laura K. Schmalbrock, Theresa Weltermann, Andrew F. Berdel, Isabella Miller, Kai Tran, Michael Heider, Sabrina Kraus, Florian Bassermann, Jacqueline Lammert, Sebastian Ziegelmayer, Marcus Makowski, Lisa C. Adams, Keno K. Bressem
arXiv AI
Aug 3

Reasoning in Real World Clinical Care: Why Large Language Models Are Not Yet Safe for Autonomous Clinical Decision Support

arXiv:2607. 28677v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM now pass medical licensing examinations and, in curated cases, can rival physicians at diagnostic reasoning.

By Shayndhan Sivanathan, Shravan Nageswaran, Mehdi Zadem, Ryaan Sultan, Nicolas von Mallinckrodt, Max Solovyev, Alexey Matyushkin, Sumon Sadhu, Gabriele C DeLuca, Sanjeeva Jeyaretna, James Hillis, Manoj Ramachandran, Prakash Jayakumar
arXiv AI
Oct 2

OpenMTB-Audit: Exposing Over-Refusal and Clinical Expert Perspectives in LLM-Based Molecular Tumor Board Safety Evaluation

OpenMTB‑Audit is an open‑source benchmark that tests large language models on 500 synthetic non‑small cell lung cancer cases, covering five adversarial error categories and four safety labels: Supported, Partially Supported, Unsupported, and Insufficient Information. The study found that all eight tested LLMs over‑refused Partially Supported recommendations, collapsing labels to achieve high safety scores. A deterministic seven‑module framework, MTB‑AuditAgent, was introduced to reduce over‑refusal to 6.7% and reach 91.2% accuracy, while an oncologist annotation study highlighted disagreement around the boundary between information sufficiency and treatment optimization.

By Negin Ashrafi, Jia Luo, Stacey M. Frumm, Roxana Daneshjou
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 1

Large Language Models are Approximate Survival Estimators

arXiv:2609.38181v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival analysis estimates time-to-event outcomes from patient covariates and is widely used for medical risk assessment. Patients seeking prognostic...

By Juan M Zambrano Chaves, Peniel Argaw, Risa Ueno, Carlo Bifulco, Kristina Young, Rom Leidner, Tristan Naumann, Hoifung Poon
arXiv AI
Oct 21

A general-purpose System One decision model for clinical records

The paper introduces Clinical System One (CS1), a 4‑billion‑parameter decision model that rapidly produces typed judgments from clinical records. Trained on 12.4 million Q&A pairs from 3.6 million patients, CS1 can answer multiple questions in a single forward pass, providing probability estimates for uncertain cases. In evaluations on 963,408 held‑out patients and 21 external datasets, CS1 outperformed larger open models and, when paired with a language‑model agent, efficiently identified trial‑eligible patients with far fewer tokens.

By Andrew Zhang, Trinh T. L. Vuong, Sophia J. Wagner, Dongmin Bang, Tong Ding, Yuchang Su, Mary Cipperman, Christina S. Chen, Judith Lefkes, Ramin Kahidi, Ming Y. Lu, Caiwei Tian, Tianhao Luo, Jingnan Ma, Rowland Pettit, Long Phi Le, Faisal Mahmood
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Towards AI-Assisted Clinical Trial Matching: Practical Considerations, Multicenter Evaluation, and Real-World Deployment

arXiv:2609.01202v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Clinical trials are essential for advancing cancer care and drug development, but many fail because of insufficient patient enrollment. While there i...

By Yin Fang, Qiao Jin, Shubo Tian, Lauren He, Maya Geer, Noor Naffakh, Ryan Huu-Tuan Nguyen, Zifeng Wang, Jimeng Sun, Charalampos S. Floudas, James L. Gulley, Kamilia Moalem, Catarina Martins Maia, Amanda Nottke, Juan W. Valle, Melinda Bachini, Lourdes Rocha-Nussbaum, Kari Ramage, Nikita Curry, Megan Barnes, Mandy Mansaray, Darlene Gabeau, Craig E. Grossman, Heath Skinner, Michael Burczynski, NIH-TrialBench Consortium, Zhiyong Lu